Category Archives: climate

Continuing His Father’s Virtue-Signaling

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Prince William is royally frustrated with the pace of “climate” solutions and wants them developed and executed faster.

For now, we’re quite keen on the scale…when we scale up [solutions], how can we have the biggest change? For me, that’s something I haven’t quite cracked yet, is “how do we scale faster?”
I’m impatient with all this. You guys provide the product…the inspiration, the solution, my role is to get you as big, as fast, and as scalable as possible…. We’ve still got some work to do on that.

First, though, William needs to demonstrate that there is, actually, a crisis. The idea that storms, hurricanes, tornadoes, fires, etc are getting steadily worse has long since been debunked.

Then there’s the fact that the plethora of climate models have consistently exaggerated the degree of predicted global warming over the last 25+ years they’ve been making their predictions—in fact, there’s been very little global warming. And those models still cannot even simultaneously predict the past and the present.

Then there’s the fact that the climate mavens’ go to source, the UN’s IPCC, has used the highly unlikely worst case scenario to push for zero atmospheric carbon emissions “right damn now,” while desperately ignoring the much more likely middle scenario which predicts…meh.

Then there’s the larger picture:

  • we’re 11.5k years after the end of the last severe glaciation (and still in middle of the latest Ice Age, which began some 2.8 million years ago), and we’re still cooler than the geologic warming trend line*, and much cooler than the warming excursion of 6k, or so, years ago
  • ice cores taken from Greenland and Antarctica that reach back 400k years indicate the atmospheric CO2 increases coincident with or after planetary warming, not before
  • there are epochs in which Earth was much warmer than today, and life was lush; there are epochs where atmospheric CO2 was much higher than today, and life was lush; those epochs do not correlate with each other—indeed, there are epochs of high temperature and low atmospheric CO2 and periods of high atmospheric CO2 and low temperature, along with high levels of each and low levels of each
  • there are epochs with no Artic ice sheet and a greatly reduced Antarctic ice sheet, and life was lush.

If the prince doesn’t demonstrate the existence of a climate crisis, instead of just blindly repeating what members of the climate funding industry tell him, he is just virtue-signaling and needn’t be taken seriously, no matter his august nobility.

 

*The trend line is very noisy, but Earth is warming, and has been since it began—because our sun has been warming ever since it gravitationally collapsed far enough to light off its fusion process.

The Cowardice of Dishonesty

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An all too typical example is provided by climatista Patrick Brown, Johns Hopkins University lecturer and “doctor” of “earth and climate sciences.” He has confessed, now that his damage has been done, that he

“left out the full truth” about climate change, blaming it primarily on human causes, to get his study published in a prestigious science journal.

His rationalization for his lie by omission:

And the editors of these journals have made it abundantly clear, both by what they publish and what they reject, that they want climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives—even when those narratives come at the expense of broader knowledge for society[.]

Here is Brown confessing that he put his career aspirations ahead of his morality and his integrity. He committed his lie of omission because he was too much of a coward to stick to the whole truth; he wanted to get published prestigiously, instead of published in a lesser, but honest, journal.

Brown’s rationalization:

He blamed his angle on the pressure scientists face to get their studies published in prestigious articles and the need to create catchy abstracts that can be turned into headlines.

No, this is his cowardice. “Scientists” and real scientists only feel the pressure they choose to feel, and they make that choice because they subordinate morality and integrity to their ambition.

Sadly, those “editors of these journals” are able to get away with their own dishonesty because climatistas as a class are too cowardly, too dishonest, to go elsewhere for their publications, and too many other climatistas, even knowing these journals’ censorship, still take the journals’ articles seriously.

Global Warming

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The Average Temperature Anomaly is a measure used by many in the Global Warming Funding Industry™ to assess the degree of deviation, above or below, from some baseline temperature by some claimed cause of global warming. The most commonly claimed cause these days is the amount of atmospheric CO2. The most commonly used baseline temperature is the period from around 1856, the nominal start of the Industrial Age and its associated increase in man-caused atmospheric CO2.

This graph, via NOAA, is that Average Temperature Anomaly since 1896, when the Industrial Age was well underway. ClimDiv is an NOAA-developed climate database, and USCRN is a network of NOAA climate stations.

Doesn’t seem like there’s much there in the way of global warming….

A Discussion with ChatGPT re Climate

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Eric Hines: Is rising atmospheric CO2 a threat to humanity?

ChatGPT: The rising atmospheric CO2 concentration is a threat to humanity in several ways. Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas that traps heat in the Earth’s atmosphere, leading to global warming and climate change. The increase in CO2 emissions is the primary cause of global warming, which is leading to a range of harmful effects, including rising sea levels, extreme weather events, and the loss of biodiversity.

Rising CO2 levels also have direct effects on human health. High levels of CO2 in the air can cause headaches, fatigue, dizziness, and other health problems. Furthermore, as temperatures rise, there will be an increase in the incidence of heat waves and related health problems, including heat exhaustion, dehydration, and heat stroke.

In addition to the direct effects on human health and the environment, rising CO2 levels can have significant economic and societal impacts. For example, the increase in frequency and intensity of extreme weather events can damage infrastructure and disrupt supply chains, leading to higher costs and reduced economic activity. The loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services can also have significant economic and societal consequences.

Therefore, it is important to address the issue of rising atmospheric CO2 levels and take steps to mitigate its effects on the environment, human health, and the economy. This can include reducing greenhouse gas emissions, transitioning to cleaner energy sources, and promoting sustainable practices.

EH: What level of atmospheric CO2 is required to cause headaches, fatigue, dizziness, and other health problems?

ChatGPT: The levels of atmospheric CO2 required to cause headaches, fatigue, dizziness, and other health problems can vary depending on the individual’s sensitivity and exposure time. However, in general, indoor CO2 levels above 1,000 ppm (parts per million) can cause discomfort, headaches, and reduced cognitive function in some individuals, especially in poorly ventilated spaces.

In some studies, indoor CO2 concentrations above 2,000 ppm have been associated with increased sleepiness, decreased concentration, and reduced work performance. Concentrations above 5,000 ppm can cause more severe symptoms, including nausea, dizziness, and unconsciousness. However, it’s worth noting that outdoor CO2 levels are typically much lower than indoor levels and are unlikely to cause health problems on their own.

It’s important to note that CO2 levels are just one factor in indoor air quality and overall health. Other pollutants, such as volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and particulate matter, can also contribute to poor indoor air quality and related health problems. Therefore, it’s essential to maintain good ventilation and air quality in indoor spaces to ensure the health and well-being of occupants.

EH: What is the current level of atmospheric CO2 concentration?

ChatGPT: As of the latest available data, the current level of atmospheric CO2 concentration is approximately 416 ppm (parts per million) as measured at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii. This is a significant increase from pre-industrial levels, which were around 280 ppm. The increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is primarily due to human activities such as burning fossil fuels and deforestation.

The concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has been increasing steadily since the industrial revolution, and the rate of increase has been accelerating in recent decades. The current level of atmospheric CO2 concentration is the highest it has been in at least 800,000 years, based on measurements from ice cores.

The rising CO2 levels are a major concern because of their contribution to global warming and climate change, which can have significant environmental, social, and economic impacts. Therefore, it is important to continue monitoring and addressing the issue of rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations to mitigate its effects on the environment and human health.

EH: Is global warming itself a threat to humanity?

ChatGPT: Global warming is indeed a threat to humanity and has the potential to cause significant environmental, social, and economic impacts. The increase in global temperatures caused by rising levels of greenhouse gases, including CO2, is leading to a range of harmful effects, including:

  1. Increased frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as heat waves, droughts, and hurricanes, leading to loss of life, property damage, and displacement of populations.
  2. Rising sea levels caused by melting glaciers and ice sheets, leading to flooding of coastal areas and displacement of populations.
  3. Changes in precipitation patterns, leading to water scarcity and food insecurity in some regions.
  4. Loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services, leading to a range of environmental and societal impacts.
  5. Health impacts from exposure to extreme heat, air pollution, and the spread of vector-borne diseases.
  6. Economic impacts from disruptions to agriculture, infrastructure, and supply chains.

These are just some of the potential impacts of global warming, and they can have significant and far-reaching consequences for humanity and the planet.

Therefore, it is crucial to address the issue of global warming and take steps to mitigate its effects, such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, transitioning to cleaner energy sources, promoting sustainable practices, and adapting to the changing climate. By doing so, we can reduce the risks and impacts of global warming and help ensure a sustainable future for all.

EH: How do you reconcile all of the foregoing with the following facts:

  1. 11,000 years after the end of the last Ice Age, we’re still cooler than the geologic planetary warming trend line
  2. Ice cores taken from opposite ends of Earth–Greenland and Antarctica–that reach back 400,000 years indicate that atmospheric CO2 concentration is coincident with or lags planetary warming
  3. There are many long epochs in Earth’s geologic history when the planet was much warmer than today, and life was lush
  4. There are many long epochs in Earth’s geologic history when the planet’s atmospheric CO2 concentration was much higher than today, and life was lush
  5. Those epochs do not correlate with each other at all, and each atmospheric CO2 epoch covered periods when Earth was much warmer and when Earth was much colder than today.

ChatGPT: It is true that the Earth’s climate has changed throughout its history and has undergone periods of warming and cooling, sometimes associated with changes in atmospheric CO2 concentrations. However, it is important to note that the current rate of warming is much faster than any natural climate change that has occurred in the past, and that human activities, particularly the burning of fossil fuels, are the primary cause of the current increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations.

Regarding your specific points:

  1. While the Earth is still cooler than the geologic planetary warming trend line, the current rate of warming is much faster than any natural climate change in the past.
  2. While it is true that ice core data shows that atmospheric CO2 concentrations have often coincided with or lagged behind planetary warming in the past, it is also important to note that this does not negate the fact that increased atmospheric CO2 levels contribute to global warming. Moreover, the current rate of increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration is much faster than any natural variability that has been observed in the ice core records.
  3. It is true that the Earth has undergone periods of warming and cooling in the past, and some of these periods have been associated with flourishing life. However, it is important to recognize that the current rate of warming is happening much faster than any past natural climate change, and this rapid change can pose a threat to current ecosystems and biodiversity.
  4. While it is true that life has thrived during periods of high atmospheric CO2 concentrations in the past, it is important to recognize that ecosystems are adapted to current conditions, and rapid changes in temperature and precipitation can lead to disruptions in these ecosystems.
  5. It is true that there have been epochs when atmospheric CO2 concentrations were high and the Earth was both warmer and colder than it is today. However, it is important to recognize that these past climate changes occurred over long time periods, allowing ecosystems to adapt gradually. The current rate of climate change is much faster than any natural climate change in the past, and ecosystems may not have enough time to adapt to these rapid changes.

In summary, while it is true that the Earth’s climate has changed in the past, the current rate of climate change is happening much faster than any natural climate change in the past, and human activities, particularly the burning of fossil fuels, are the primary cause of the current increase in atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Therefore, it is important to take action to mitigate the effects of climate change and promote sustainable practices to ensure a habitable planet for future generations.

Discussion ends.

ChatGPT’s desperation to sell the threat of global warming and rising atmospheric CO2 concentration is palpable—it’s all going so fast!—while ignoring human penchant for technology advances and protections.

I didn’t press it on the fact that so many of his “threats” to humanity from global warming itself are inconveniences (often serious) rather than actual threats, and the others are not substantiated, for instance by the expanding number of plant and animal species that continue to be discovered from the Amazon jungle to bottom (and I do mean bottom) of Earth’s oceans.

The AI already was in over its CPU.

Virtue Signaling

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Recall the climatistas who have been running around (sort of) gluing themselves to museum art, throwing messy food at the art, and one group, pleased to call themselves scientists, even glued themselves to the floor of a luxury sports car dealership showroom floor. All that in the name of saving the planet from overheating. (In that last case, dealership management just left them there, refusing to feed them or give them bowls into which to empty their bladders and bowels. Management just closed up and turned out the lights. Good for dealership management).

Now other climatistas are calling out these self-gluers. Danielle Butcher, American Conservation Coalition Executive Vice President:

Activists are trying to deface property and artwork specifically because it is shocking. The tactics, they’re focused on sparking conversation, whatever that means, but they’re not actually helping the environment tangibly.

Whatever that means, indeed.

Addressing only the self-gluers, I note Mason Cooley’s remark: Virtue sometimes pretends. Vice is always sincere.

Butcher went on:

You cannot annoy people into agreeing with you.
And certainly throwing mashed potatoes or glue or soup or dumping milk on a grocery store floor, those are not ways that you convince people you are in the right position[.]

On the other hand, “you” cannot always convince folks to agree with you when you cynically omit key facts, here related to Earth’s evolving climate. Facts like we’ve been hotter with lush life, and we’ve had higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations with lush life, and those periods do not correlate with each other.

Oh, and we’re still cooler than the geologic planetary warming trend line 11,000 years after the end of the last Ice Age.

Maybe Cooley’s remark applies here, too.