Trump and a Chinese Idiom

Walter Russell Mead’s Sunday Wall Street Journal op-ed opened with this subheadline:

For him [President Donald Trump (R)], extreme volatility and risk are not a problem but an opportunity.

Here’s an old and hoary Chinese idiom:

危機

These characters, 危 + 機 in their combination translate to Crisis, and the term is composed of characters meaning Danger + Opportunity

Mead’s piece expands on his theme of President Donald Trump’s (R) use of volatility and risk, but that’s just another way of saying, in Western diction, that Chinese idiom. The only difference between the two is whether the deviation is imposed from the outside or it’s created by deliberately deviating.

That idiom, and the Western rephrasing of volatility and risk, are essentially correct. Gains are not made without taking the underlying risks of deviating from the status quo. Great gains are possible only with making great deviations. Both Crisis and Volatility and Risk are those opportunities from great deviations.

Those who fear crisis or volatility and risk to the point of paralysis seek to have the rest of us similarly paralyzed lest they be left behind.

One More Warning?

General Jack Keane (USA, Ret) thinks President Donald Trump (R) should give the Iranian government one more warning before striking, if we’re going to strike at all.

“The president has told them, ‘If you kill them, I’m coming for you,'” Keane said during an appearance on Life, Liberty & Levin on Saturday.
“They’ve already killed more than 40 people, and they’ve jailed many more. And in jail, they will execute them.”

“I think the president could give one more warning and then take down some of the leaders responsible for conducting violence against the Iranian population[.]”

No. One warning is enough, they heard him that first time, and they’ve already answered him. No more warnings, no more talking. It’s time to act, and more forcefully than merely taking down some of the leaders. There needs to be no teeth and claws left for their follow-ons to use.

Time to Strike

The Iranian government is threatening US Middle East bases, shipping lanes in the Arabian Gulf, and Israel if the US strikes Iran in support of the Iranian people, who are in the streets first protesting inflation and now openly calling for the downfall of the mullahs’ regime.

Iran will attack American military bases in the Middle East if the US hits first, the country’s parliamentary speaker said Sunday after US officials said the Trump administration was looking at preliminary options for striking Iranian military sites.
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf [third in power behind Khamenei and Iran’s President] also threatened that Iran would hit Middle Eastern shipping lanes and Israel.

And

Ghalibaf also raised the possibility of a pre-emptive attack, following other senior officials who have mentioned this in recent days.

It’s time for the US to strike in support of the Iranian people. Iran’s ability to strike back was demonstrated during its strikes against Israel and its counters against Israel and the US during the recently concluded 12-day kerfuffle: virtually non-existent, with very few of its missiles getting through defenses, and most of those missing their targets.

My target list would center on Iran’s remaining air defense facilities, missile launch facilities, naval bases and naval ships afloat, then move on to central Basij facilities, and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps bases. Then the mullahs’ hideaways. They’re last, to give them time to leave the city and the potential for collateral damage, and then to be fixed in place for serious targeting. A couple of days work, maybe longer, depending on the size of the US forces in place and the operational pace they’re put through.

It’s time to be done with the thugs, from the mullahs on down. There will be neither People Power revolution nor any Color Revolution success; those affairs worked, and relatively bloodlessly so, because the governments being tossed had some minimal concern for the lives of their people, or they lacked the overwhelming force available to suppress the protests, or they had places outside their nations to which to flee. The mullahs care only about their own lives and power, the IRGC and the Basij will unhesitatingly provide the necessary force, and the mullahs have no place to which to run or hide.

Without our help, the present struggles in Iran will get very bloody, and the protesting may well end suppressed, if only because so many of the protestors will be killed—in the thousands—by these thugs. That’s already started:

A crackdown on nationwide protests in Iran has killed at least 538 people and even more are feared dead, activists said Sunday….
About 10,600 people have been detained over the two weeks of protests, according to the US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency….

Maybe this will Prod

Maybe it’ll prod us both. The People’s Republic of China has cut off export of rare earths and the magnets made from them to Japan over Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s recent commentary about Japan’s strengthening resolve to assist the Republic of China in the event of a PRC invasion.

China has begun choking off exports of rare earths and rare-earth magnets to Japan, a potential blow to Japanese companies that use them to produce components for global chip makers, car companies and defense firms.

It really is getting time, and urgently so, for Japan to pull all of its supply chains out of the PRC. Doing so would eliminate nearly all of the PRC’s economic leverage over Japan short of going to war over the sea lines of communication on which Japan depends.

The PRC’s move also should be a serious prod for us to get off the dime and move all of our supply chains out of the PRC. It’s time we proofed ourselves against PRC economic pressure, along with Japan. Nearly half of our economy’s imports flow through portions of those same SLOCs to our west coast.

Violations of International Law

The Wall Street Journal‘s editors rightly ask the question.

Has international law become a tyrant’s best friend? Democrats and foreign leaders are claiming that President Trump’s arrest of Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro is illegal—at least as international law is interpreted by the reigning complex of professors, NGOs, and multilateral bureaucrats.

Never mind that none of these nay-sayers—not a single one—are willing to cite the “international law” that the US violated in the arrest of Maduro and his wife. The closest they come is the single UN law, which as no applicability to the current situation, as the editors explain in words so plain that even Leftists should be able to understand them.

I expect such cynicism and dishonest out of our enemies and our fair weather friends and acquaintances. But to get this drivel from American politicians—in the main, Progressive-Democratic Party politicians—is decidedly shameful. This sub rosa hatred of America by those who claim to be our own should be remembered at the ballot box this fall.