Category Archives: political economy

I Can’t Think of a Reason

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Mark Zuckerberg wants to automate ad-creation in his Meta.

That’s not all he wants to do, though. Zuckerberg said this at his recent shareholder meeting (keep in mind that the these meetings generally are Zuckerberg talking to himself since he owns the controlling number of voting shares) [emphasis added].

In the not-too-distant future, we want to get to a world where any business will be able to just tell us what objective they’re trying to achieve, like selling something or getting a new customer, how much they’re willing to pay for each result, and connect their bank account and then we just do the rest for them[.]

Which of those processes—customer convenience or Meta convenience—is the one intended to be jumped on with both feet, and which is the one intended to be slipped past us?

I, for one, have no reason at all to let anyone other than myself or my wife have whenever-they-feel-like-it access to my financials.

Backwards

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Interior Secretary Doug Burgum thinks he has a deal with New York’s Progressive-Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul: he’ll lift the pause on an off-shore windmill project she wants if she’ll unblock a couple of natural gas pipelines that ex-Progressive-Democrat Governor Andrew Cuomo blocked. The pipelines would vastly lower energy costs for New York and for the northeastern States on the other side of New York from Pennsylvania, where the pipelines would have originated.

Burgum lifted the pause on the wind farm, and then—and only then—Hochul said she’d work with the Trump Administration and companies on “new energy projects.”

This is backwards, and it foolishly trusts a Progressive-Democratic Party politician to follow through in any serious fashion.

It’s easy enough for Burgum to lift the pause on the wind farm; he can do it with the stroke of his pen. It’ll take a while for Hochul to lift the ban on the pipelines—if she does it at all rather than just engaging in stalling rhetoric, empty words like work with…on “new energy projects.” The correct order for execution of this agreement would have been for Hochul to lift the ban and get construction started. Then lift the pause.

Another Reason Why

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Here is another reason our nation’s student loan debt has gotten out of hand. The subheadline goes

Millions of Americans suddenly owe billions of dollars in student debt after years of forbearance

The foolishness of the forbearance itself contributed to the enormous risks the massive student loan overhang represents for our economy. There’s nothing sudden, though, about the reappearance of that debt.

The article then does nothing to correct this distortion. Here’s the lede:

Millions of Americans had their student-loan payments put on pause during the pandemic. Now they are back on the hook again.

They never were off the hook; none of those loans were forgiven in any legal way. They’ve always been on the hook. “Millions of Americans” have owed those billions of dollars all along. This sort of distortion is even more heavily contributory to those risks.

Full stop.

Misguided Categorizations

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The Wall Street Journal has them in its article concerning some outcomes of the just-passed House version of the budget reconciliation bill. The headline reads

The Biggest Losers in Trump’s Megabill

Some Medicaid users are categorized as losers. House-passed work requirements would mean some few millions would lose Medicaid coverage unless they show they’re working part time or are actively seeking work or they are volunteering. Separately, nearly a million and a half illegal aliens would lose coverage. It’s hard to see how these are losers. Those going back to work rather than coasting on our taxpayer handouts stand to gain morally and in the medium- and longer-term economically by having jobs and being able thereby to move up the economic ladder. Those volunteering will do much good for their community while gaining—if they volunteer seriously—valuable work experience. The illegal aliens being denied coverage can’t be losers, since it’s not a loss to no longer receive that to which they were never entitled in the first place.

Older food-aid recipients are categorized as losers from those same work requirements, here being extended to age 64. This is an especially wrong categorization since these folks actually gain in two ways. The first and immediate way is from the same gains as just above, for all that the longer-term part is absent. The second way these folks actually gain, though, directly addresses that longer term: by working those added years, they’re plussing up the Social Security payments they’ll receive when they actually retire.

Clean-energy projects are categorized as losers. The House-passed bill cancels these projects’ tax credits on an accelerated (relative to the originally proposed glacial) schedule. This time, the projects really are losers, but our economy gains enormously by cutting off those money wasters and by reducing the energy production and market distortions such credits have created.

Some student-loan borrowers are categorized as losers. The House-passed bill would put them on one of two offered repayment plans. This actually makes the borrowers winners, since it makes it possible for them actually to repay their loans and get those yokes off their necks.

EV/hybrid car owners and buyers are categorized as losers. Here, as with clean energy, the battery car buyers will lose out on subsidies, but our economy as a whole—and ultimately those battery car buyers—will gain sharply. These wastes of our taxpayer money will stop, and those subsidies’ production and market distortions will disappear.

While it’s true enough that the House-passed bill has much for which to be criticized—it doesn’t reduce tax rates enough, and it doesn’t cut spending nearly enough—these five items aren’t on that list.

Not the Right Answer

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Nvdia’s honcho, Jensen Huang, thinks the administration’s export controls on chips is a failure. He claims all the controls have done is to galvanize[] Beijing to push ahead faster with its own artificial-intelligence technologies.

The local companies are very talented and very determined, and the export controls give them the spirit, energy and the government support to accelerate their development[.]

No doubt. That’s not the whole story, though. Forcing the PRC to spend its own resources on those developments rather than importing the latest and greatest, and then reverse engineering them, copying them, skipping development steps—freeloading off our expenditures—is good for us.

Aside from that, ever since the beginning of the Industrial Age, Western political, economic, and intellectual freedoms have powered Western innovation far ahead of anything dictatorships have been able to achieve, from Russia, the USSR, mainland China, pre-WWII Japan. That’s why they were at such pains to copy Western developments rather than developing their own. The copying was, for a long time, a major component of post-WWII Japan, too.

Rather than giving up on chip export control, we need to tighten them further to the point of cutting off chip exports to the PRC altogether, and we need to get Europe to do the same. There’s no reason to doubt the fundamental innovative superiority of the West so long as we preserve those political, economic, and intellectual freedoms and expand them by getting our governments out of the regulatory way. Free markets always will do better at enhancing our innovative prowess than centrally planned markets in the long run, and in the intermediate run, as well.