The Supreme Court Erred Again

Heads up: long post. I have some thoughts on the Roberts Court’s ruling concerning the IRS’ tax credits.

Chief Justice John Roberts again rewrote the Patient Protection Affordable and Care Act to suit what he thought it should say rather than staying within the bounds of what it actually says. In these comments I’ll leave aside Roberts’ guiding principles that health plans that are independent of the risk being transferred are, somehow, insurance plans; that possession of a health plan is a universal so good it must be mandated; and that the folks who need a health plan the least—the healthy—must also be required to possess such a plan. Those matters have been well addressed elsewhere. I’ll confine my remarks to his position on the IRS’ tax credits.

What the ACA actually says regarding State Exchanges and IRS’ tax credits is this [emphasis added in both cites]:

The premium assistance amount determined under this subsection with respect to any coverage month is the amount equal to the lesser of—

  • the monthly premiums for such month for 1 or more qualified health plans offered in the individual market within a State which cover the taxpayer, the taxpayer’s spouse, or any dependent (as defined in section 152) of the taxpayer and which were enrolled in through an Exchange established by the State [under the ACA]

and

The term “coverage month” means, with respect to an applicable taxpayer, any month if—

  • as of the first day of such month the taxpayer, the taxpayer’s spouse, or any dependent of the taxpayer is covered by a qualified health plan described in subsection (b)(2)(A) that was enrolled in through an Exchange established by the State [under the ACA]

It really is quite explicit and clear. Eligibility for the tax credits is only through enrollment in a State Exchange: Federally established exchanges simply do not count. Nevertheless, as Roberts noted [citations omitted],

the IRS Rule provides that a taxpayer is eligible for a tax credit if he enrolled in an insurance plan through “an Exchange,” which is defined as “an Exchange serving the individual market…regardless of whether the Exchange is established and operated by a State…or by HHS[.]”

Now comes the first of Roberts’ non sequiturs:

The tax credits are among the Act’s key reforms, involving billions of dollars in spending each year and affecting the price of health insurance for millions of people. Whether those credits are available on Federal Exchanges is thus a question of deep “economic and political significance” that is central to this statutory scheme; had Congress wished to assign that question to an agency, it surely would have done so expressly.

Indeed. However, it’s irrelevant. As he admitted, the money’s availability is an economic and political question; it most assuredly is not a legal one. This is no matter for the Court to involve itself.

Roberts then laid out three things he held must be true in order to reach his ruling:

First, the individual must enroll in an insurance plan through “an Exchange.” Second, that Exchange must be “established by the State.” And third, that Exchange must be established “under [42 U. S. C. §18031].”

For the first, Roberts turned to this bit of pseudo-logic:

State Exchanges and Federal Exchanges are equivalent—they must meet the same requirements, perform the same functions, and serve the same purposes. Although State and Federal Exchanges are established by different sovereigns, Sections 18031 and 18041 do not suggest that they differ in any meaningful way. A Federal Exchange therefore counts as “an Exchange” under Section 36B.

Notice that: Roberts has conflated “equivalent” with “equal,” or “the same as,” and he has minimized the critical distinction that renders them not at all the same: that the Exchanges were established by different sovereigns. The first is in part a straw man: no one was arguing the two different Exchanges were not equivalent enough to satisfy the “must have a health plan” requirement. The conflation and the minimization are absolutely necessary, though, to support disregarding the plain language of the ACA: an Exchange established by the State.

Thus, the first of his three things which must be true to support his opinion has failed, and so the rest of his argument fails, as well.

Let’s proceed, anyway, to the second of his three things which he has said must be true for his argument to be true.

As we just mentioned, the Act requires all Exchanges to “make available qualified health plans to qualified individuals”—something an Exchange could not do if there were no such individuals.

And that’s a problem: If we give the phrase “the State that established the Exchange” its most natural meaning, there would be no “qualified individuals” on Federal Exchanges.

Of course it cannot: none qualified means none qualified. Full stop. By definition, then, “if there are no such individuals” then the Exchange has achieved its duty of 100%. There is not the first syllable of an obligation created in ACA that requires a State or a State’s Exchange to manufacture qualified individuals out of the æther where none exist naturally. Neither is there the first syllable of an authorization crated in the ACA for a Federal Exchange to manufacture such individuals in a State’s stead.

This problem arises repeatedly throughout the Act.

Yes, it does. So much so that the problem must be taken at face value: it is not a problem but the repeatedly stated intent of the ACA. Indeed, the Supreme Court already had ruled on this sort of question in a prior case—oddly health care related, also—Brown v Gardner, wherein Justice David Souter, writing for the Court, quoted a rule laid out in Russello v US, a rule now well-established (except, apparently, in the minds of the Roberts Court):

Where Congress includes particular language in one section of a statute but omits it in another section of the same Act, it is generally presumed that Congress acts intentionally and purposely in the disparate inclusion or exclusion.

Where Congress included particular language concerning credits in one section of the ACA but omitted it in another section of the same Act, and where Congress included particular language concerning Exchanges in one section of the ACA but omitted it in other sections of the Act, the Court must presume that Congress acted intentionally and purposely in that disparate exclusion.

And so Roberts’ second argument has failed, and so then has his overall argument.

Proceeding to his conclusion from his three points (I’ll not contest his third):

The upshot of all this is that the phrase “an Exchange established by the State under [42 U. S. C. §18031]” is properly viewed as ambiguous. The phrase may be limited in its reach to State Exchanges. But it is also possible that the phrase refers to all Exchanges—both State and Federal—at least for purposes of the tax credits.

No, the phrase is extremely clear: it applies only to State-established Exchanges. Or else Roberts is saying that this is permissible, also: the phrase “2 + 2” may be limited in its reach to the sum of 4. But it is also possible that the phrase refers to all sums—at least for purposes of Supreme Court Justices. No. As Roberts noted above, the thing is stated often throughout the ACA, and so it’s clearly intended to mean what it says.

Roberts went on in that vein for some distance; I’ll just touch on some highlights.

The Affordable Care Act contains more than a few examples of inartful drafting.

True. Also irrelevant. It’s the Court’s job first, to determine the legitimacy—the Constitutionality—of the law before it, or in the present case, whether the Rule before it comports with the law it’s purported to implement, and if legitimate to apply the law or Rule as it is written. Note that it’s necessary to determine legitimacy, too, based solely on the text of the law or Rule and on nothing else—including the clumsiness with which it might have been written.

[citation omitted] Here, the statutory scheme compels us to reject petitioners’ interpretation because it would destabilize the individual insurance market in any State with a Federal Exchange, and likely create the very “death spirals” that Congress designed the Act to avoid. (“We cannot interpret federal statutes to negate their own stated purposes.”).

And yet the ACA’s clearly stated purpose was that tax credits would be available only for health plan purchasers who purchased their plans through a State Exchange—as the ACA said repeatedly. The provision for Federal Exchanges was solely to provide for the availability of health plans for everyone. Had the ACA contemplated the tax credits to be available through Federal Exchanges, also, it would have said so at any of the ample opportunities available for so saying. The Congress chose not to say so.

[emphasis added, citation omitted] When analyzing an agency’s interpretation of a statute, we often apply the two-step framework announced in Chevron. Under that framework, we ask whether the statute is ambiguous and, if so, whether the agency’s interpretation is reasonable. This approach “is premised on the theory that a statute’s ambiguity constitutes an implicit delegation from Congress to the agency to fill in the statutory gaps.

But this is just the agency writing law—filling in gaps in law can only be law-writing—which the Court has previously ruled unconstitutional; law writing is the sole province of Congress. For instance, in JW Hampton, Jr., & Co v United States, the Court held that [emphasis added]

“In determining what Congress may do in seeking assistance from another branch, the extent and character of that assistance must be fixed according to common sense and the inherent necessities of the government co-ordination.” So long as Congress “shall lay down by legislative act an intelligible principle to which the person or body authorized to [exercise the delegated authority] is directed to conform, such legislative action is not a forbidden delegation of legislative power.”

In other words, no gaps in the law. Only the law itself is available to the Rule maker; actual gaps can be filled only statutorily.

Here are some additional thoughts, now on Roberts’ repeated contention that he is able to divine Congressional intent and that divination should supersede the plain text of the law.

Debates in Congress are not appropriate sources of information from which to discover the meaning of the language of a statute passed by that body.

That’s what this Court held in Dunlap v US. We are stuck with, and the Court should adhere to—is obligated by their several oaths of office to adhere to—the plain language of the law before them. And that plain language is quite clear.

Thus, how do we know what Congress actually intended? It’s very clear: by the words in the statute that the Congress passed. Full stop.

Or:

“When I use a word,” Humpty Dumpty said in rather a scornful tone, “it means just what I choose it to mean—neither more nor less.”

“The question is,” said Alice, “whether you can make words mean so many different things.”

“The question is,” said Humpty Dumpty, “which is to be master—that’s all.”

God save the United States and this Honorable Court, indeed.

The ruling and dissent can be seen here.

YGTBSM

The federal government cannot verify nearly $3 billion in subsidies distributed through Obamacare, putting significant taxpayer funding “at risk,” according to a new audit report.

HHS’ Office of Inspector General (OIG) said

[The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services] CMS’s internal controls did not effectively ensure the accuracy of nearly $2.8 billion in aggregate financial assistance payments made to insurance companies under the Affordable Care Act during the first four months that these payments were made.

Three findings from the audit [emphasis added]:

  • did not have systems in place to ensure that financial assistance payments were made on be half of confirmed enrollees and in the correct amounts,
  • did not have systems in place for State marketplaces to submit enrollee eligibility data for financial assistance payments, and
  • did not always follow its guidance for calculating advance CSR payments and does not plan to perform a timely reconciliation of these payments.

That last is mindboggling.

This administration’s performance, both with Obamacare and with information security generally, just keeps on getting better and better. The audit can be seen here.

Health Care Subsidies

President Barack Obama sent his HHS Secretary, Sylvia Mathews Burwell, to Congress to testify before the House Ways and Means Committee about, among other things, his plans should the Supreme Court rule against Federal subsidies for those who bought health plans through ObamaMart and not through state exchanges as Obama’s ACA requires. He said, through her,

If the court says that we do not have the authority to give subsidies, the critical decisions will sit with the Congress and states and governors to determine if those subsidies are available[.]

This is openly cynical. “If the court says…” the subsidies are not available, they’re not available. Full stop.

The Governors and states made their own critical decisions clear five years ago when, in full view of the ACA’s statement that Federal subsidies are available only through state exchanges, they carefully and with forethought declined to create state exchanges.

The Congress made its own critical decision all those years ago when it wrote the law that said Federal subsidies would not be available except through state exchanges.

Of course the better policy wonk than his policy wonks knows this, and he knew it when he sent Burwell up there to spout that nonsense. The only way the Court can upend those critical decisions will be through a twisted interpretation of the text of the law that leads them to uphold the Federal subsidies.

Hmm….

Relevance

Some of you may recall that the Supreme Court is due to issue its ruling on the Obamacare case of whether the Federal government is allowed to pay health coverage plan premium subsidies to citizens who bought their health plans through ObamaMart instead of State-built and –run exchanges.

Health and Human Services Secretary Sylvia Mathews Burwell on Thursday defended the landmark 2010 US health law as sharply lowering the rate of uninsured Americans, improving health-care quality and making it more affordable.

The Wall Street Journal paraphrased her additional remarks:

Directly addressing the possibility that the US Supreme Court later this month will overturn a central provision of the law, she said such an event would mean “the number of uninsured would jump,” that “affordability goes away” and that a “death spiral” would ensue in the health insurance systems in some three dozen states.

Never mind that the law is quite explicit: it authorizes the subsidies only for those who bought their plans through exchanges established by the States and not through the Federal government’s ObamaMart. Obamacare also is completely silent about costs if the subsidies are, in fact, limited those State exchanges’ plans.

Burwell’s argument is a typical Democratic Party aargument: it’s a good idea, therefore ignore the law, do what we want.

It may be a good idea. If it is, change the law. In the meantime, do what the law says, not what you wish it to say. William Howard Taft, an earlier Chief Justice, had this to say on doing the “right” thing rather than obeying the law:

It is the high duty and function of this court…to decline to recognize or enforce seeming laws of Congress, dealing with subjects not entrusted to Congress, but left or committed by the supreme law of the land to the control of the States. We cannot avoid the duty even though it require us to refuse to give effect to legislation designed to promote the highest good. The good sought in unconstitutional legislation is an insidious feature because it leads citizens and legislators of good purpose to promote it without thought of the serious breach it will make in the ark of our covenant or the harm which will come from breaking down recognized standards.

Taft wrote that in finding a law unconstitutional, but it applies just as clearly to any regulation or procedure purported to be on the highest grounds but that contradicts a law.

I hope today’s Supremes still understand this and don’t fall for the irrelevant blandishments.

Update: An earlier iteration of this post said that Taft had found a law unconditional; in fact he had found unconstitutional.  A sharp-eyed reader caught that.

All the more Reason

…to speed reform of the way in which our economy produces medical care services and in which we pay for them.

[A] 66-year-old couple retiring this year with average Social Security benefits can expect medical costs to consume 67% of the Social Security they will receive in retirement.

A 55-year-old couple who plan to retire in 10 years can expect to devote about 90% of their lifetime Social Security benefits to healthcare costs.

There’s more:

Social Security benefits typically grow by approximately 2% a year—the overall rate of inflation. But medical costs in general tend to rise by more, 5% to 7% a year[.]

There’s this graph, too, that illustrate cost change trends since 1960:HealthCostTrends

Since Obamacare was enacted and has started to take effect (since 2010), the then-eight-year-old trend of decreasing costs has been completely stopped. That’s the effect of government intervention into a free market.

If we’re to correct this, if we’re actually to hold down, not just the rise in costs, but the actual costs themselves, we need to get government out of the way and use free market solutions: get rid of the health welfare that is Obamacare, allow insurance companies—which would sell true insurance policies—to charge premiums based on the actual risk transferred from customer to company, and allow insurance policies to be sold across state lines—that is nationwide.

All government intervention succeeds in doing is preventing competition and market forces from reducing and then holding down costs. Which hits hardest the very people these government programs are claimed to help.