Progressive-Democrats appear to be losing votes in heretofore Progressive-Democrat-safe States.
21st Century Democrats looked at voting patterns throughout the rural Midwest (the heart of flyover country) over the last three Presidential elections. Aside from the expected shift to the right that the PAC saw in agricultural communities, the PAC found a much sharper shift, not just toward the right, but away from the Progressive-Democrats (my term) in rural manufacturing communities.
In the 565 factory town counties (small or midsize manufacturing), 19 had Democratic growth and 537 had GOP growth.
This outcome turns out to be closely tied to job availability and manufacturing facility existence.
In the small to midsize factory town counties…where support for the Republican presidential nominee grew between 2012 and 2020, more than 70% suffered declines in manufacturing jobs.
There’s a hint there regarding the current Biden-Harris administration’s job-destroying regulatory, spending, and taxing policies and its spend- and tax-a-thon reconciliation bill they’re about to pass.
There’s also a hint there for Republicans and about what they need to talk as they campaign in 2022 and 2024 and the outyears.