Referenda Weren’t Part of the Blue Tsunami

In all of the voting that produced the collapse of the Republican Party in the last week, there were some bright spots where the people spoke directly for themselves rather than indirectly by electing politicians to speak for them. The people passed a number of conservative-oriented referenda.

  • Iowa…voters approved a constitutional amendment to require a two-thirds legislative majority for raising income taxes on residents or businesses.
  • Ohio…voted to shore up the state’s voter ID requirement by putting it in the constitution.
  • North Carolina…approved a constitutional amendment to cut the maximum income-tax rate to 3.5%, from 7%.
  • North Carolina also approved an amendment on voter ID.
  • Washington state approved a measure.
  • Colorado is on a path to Colorado’s barring biological males from competing in girls’ sports and a separate measure banning gender surgeries on minors also is ahead.
  • Arizona is on a similar path to protecting female athletes.
  • Kentucky voters amended their constitution to prevent lame-duck pardons.

However, even that silver lining is deeply buried in dark clouds; there’s still this:

  • Colorado voters repealed the state’s groundbreaking Taxpayer Bill of Rights and may saddle themselves with a progressive income tax.
  • Washington looks to have rubber-stamped a millionaire’s tax.
  • Arizona and California said no to voter ID.
  • Montanans and Michiganders voted for new restrictions on free speech under the guise of “campaign-finance reform.”

No, It Isn’t

New York City, as the WSJ pointed out, has a serious homeless problem, and it’s failing across to deal with it. The article centered on the city’s socialist Progressive-Democrat mayor, Zohran Mamdani’s current failure, but in truth, the problem is rampant across all of our nation’s cities.

Dave Giffen, Coalition for the Homeless Executive Director thinks he has the answer.

The simplest solution is to build more affordable housing.

No, it isn’t. It is, though, the only idea the economically bankrupt Left can conceive.

It’s always either throw more money into failed programs, or build ever more government housing projects, or both. In truth, though, Leftists and their Progressive-Democratic Party politicians don’t care a penny about programs or policies that actually work; they just want the spending and building (the latter especially for their union benefactors’ jobs), and then to call it good. Sadly, as the rest of us understand, “more affordable housing” just perpetuates the homeless’ isolation from society by facilitating their dependency on government and trapping them in increasingly dilapidated government housing.

Contra Know Betters like Giffen and his ilk, the simplest solution isn’t as pie-in-the-sky simple as those virtue-signaling money wasters so favored of the Left, but it is eminently straightforward. This entails getting government regulations out of the way of private enterprise, so more jobs, including those for the unskilled, become much more available; encouraging private enterprises and charitable organizations wholly unaffiliated with government to run job training programs; and thereby providing the homeless with both the incentive and the means to get jobs and earn their own income and get into their own homes. (The general housing shortage is a separate problem.)

In parallel with that, encourage private enterprises and charitable organizations wholly unaffiliated with government to set up drug rehabilitation programs for those addict homeless who want off their drug dependency the treatment they need to achieve that. In parallel with this particular phase, it’s critical for government at all jurisdictional levels to get truly draconian and move the drug pushers off the streets and their suppliers out of their facilities and into jail. This is one of the very few aspects of homelessness in which government has a legitimate role.

There will remain a few homeless who are truly hopeless; these would be wards, first, of local church and charity, and only last of government, beginning first with local government.

A Thought on Property Taxes

Prompted by SIL forwarding to me a call for abolishing property taxes altogether.

Land taxes have a long and venerable history in Western civilization. It’s also a wealth tax that the Left so desperately wants, since only those who own it—us landed gentry—pay taxes on it.

The thing is, as long as we’re going to go about hiring governments to manage and enforce the social compact we’ve agreed to and live under, we need to give it the money it needs to manage and enforce it.

We defined, in our Constitution, only three legitimate purposes for taxes; they’re enumerated in the Preamble to Article I, Section 8: to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States. That general Welfare is just as clearly and limitedly enumerated in the ensuing 16 clauses of the Section.

The only way, other than donations out of the civic-mindedness of our kindness, to get that money to government is via land taxes; consumption (sales or VAT) taxes, which are sales at every goods transfer point; income taxes; head taxes, money you pay over just because you exist; or tariffs. Consumption taxes, unlike land taxes, most heavily hammer the poor. The rest of us can adjust what we buy and how much so as to hold down the tax we pay, but there are necessities that must be bought, even by the poor, and they have no purchasing options to manage.

Head taxes have been anathema to, at least, Anglo-Saxon Western civilization ever since we got rid of monarchical power, and in the US’ particular case, started getting racism out of our electoral-civic life.

Tariffs, which are taxes on imported goods and services (and so they’re sometimes referred to as border taxes), increase the cost of goods and services across the board when they’re used as revenue raisers (tariffs as foreign policy tools are a separate matter and outside the scope of this post), and so they’re generally inflationary—which, like sales taxes, hurts the poor disproportionately.

That leaves income taxes, which for me are the least evil of the several necessary evils that are taxes. Beyond that, land taxes, for me, are an acceptable complement to income taxes for funding our government.

Within all of that, there will certainly be efforts by the taxed to manipulate their taxed whatever so as to minimize the taxes owed. It then is important to do the tax on the whatever that minimizes the market distortions—business or personal—that any tax unavoidably causes, along with minimizing the follow-on consequences of a tax’s existence. Property taxes are passed along to buyers and renters by the seller, for instance, and that runs up the cost, of particular interest, of renting—one of those necessities faced by the poor. Landlords also face those tax payments as subtractions from funds available for maintenance and will adjust their treatments accordingly.

Sales taxes lead to tax regime distortion as efforts become necessary to mitigate the tax’ effect on the poor. Exempt necessaries from the tax? Who defines what’s necessary? Under what conditions? The definitions will vary across States, even across lesser jurisdictions. Give refunds to the poor? Based on what criteria? How to measure an individual’s tax expenditure? When to pay those refunds? Tax refunds or reimbursable tax credits for those with no measurable income, or income below the Guideline make the poor wait until tax filing season to get reimbursed. Being poor, though, means they need the money today, not next year.

Income taxes are the least susceptible to such distortions, although a less byzantine tax regime—a single flat tax on all income regardless of source and with no subsidies or credits or deductions—would virtually eliminate opportunities for distortion by either the taxee or the taxer. Even here, land taxes would be a useful complement and supply the progressive tax structure that so enamors the Left. Income varies over time and across individuals, but land values are much more stable, being invariant with respect to who owns or rents the property, rising or falling only with the improvements made or not made by the owner, and only slowly rising in value, in the long term.

As an aside, our various welfare programs are technically unconstitutional, however long they’ve been in existence, as Congressman James Madison noted during a discussion of aid to Haiti after a hurricane: …he could not undertake to lay his finger on that article in the Federal Constitution which granted a right of Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents. We also, though, have a Judeo-Christian duty to aid those who are less well off, and we are wealthy enough as a nation that we can wink at such Constitutional strictures, unlike the straits we were in those years ago.

The tension between that duty and what’s constitutional, though, drives the existence of our welfare programs. Deviation from our Constitution, even for the Very Best of Reasons, opens the ramparts to further deviations everywhere. Our welfare spending would be far more tolerable, or at least far less offensive, to our Constitution, though, were that portion of government spending strictly limited to the poor defined by the Federal poverty guidelines, instead of being allowed to be spent on folks with incomes as high as 400% of the Guideline. Folks above the Guideline, after all, are by definition not poverty-stricken.

An Excellent Opportunity in the Offing

The Bank of England is keeping its benchmark interest rates unchanged for the time being, and it says it’s changing the way it would change the way it reduces its holdings of government bonds at a time when gilt yields have risen to multidecade highs, including pausing auctions of those bonds until next year.

The BOE is doing this in part because gilt yields are at multidecade highs. Those highs also mean that the market prices for the gilts are at multidecade lows. Which creates the opportunity.

Instead of pausing its auctions, or perhaps in conjunction with them, the BOE might take advantage of those near historic low prices and buy back a passel (to use the technical term) of the gilts, particularly those with the longest time yet remaining to maturity, and retire them.

Of course, that would have its maximum effect only if the British government were to get its fiscal house in order and cut out its addiction to spending like there’s no tomorrow, which there won’t be if the government doesn’t. That, though, is another story.

Another Brief Thought on Responsibility

A WSJ Letters letter writer representing Share our Strength wrote to protest the paring back of Federal outlays to State SNAP programs. He had this early in his missive, and he was right:

We can agree that states should ensure eligible families get the proper benefits.

In the very next sentence, though, he had this contradiction:

But penalizing states without providing the resources to improve administration leaves more children hungry by pushing more parents away from SNAP.

The latter part of that may be true, but it’s not the Federal government’s responsibility to improve any State’s SNAP administration, nor is it the Federal government’s responsibility to provide resources for that improvement. Both of those requirements lie strictly and solely with the State involved.

And, using New York as his example, he offered this naked excusal for States’ failure to perform:

Honest mistakes can happen when overworked caseworkers using outdated technology to calculate benefits have to factor in a gig worker’s fluctuating income or a parent picking up occasional extra shifts.

If [New York] truly were serious about those error rates, it would satisfy its own (not the Federal government’s) responsibility and hire more (well-trained) caseworkers and upgrade the technology those caseworkers must use.

At bottom here is a State’s own decision regarding its own spending allocations. Nothing is stopping any State from changing what it chooses to fund and what set of Federal dollars it chooses to try to freeload off of.

All the Federal government can do, all it should do in our federal republic, is provide incentives to States to carry out their own responsibilities. Withholding financial transfers from States that choose to shirk their own responsibilities is a perfectly fine incentive, and one the Federal government should apply more broadly regarding money transfers to States.