A Misunderstanding

The People’s Republic of China’s Foreign Minister, Wang Yi, misunderstands. Or maybe not.

Wang last month began urging the rest of the Six-Party Talks members (the PRC, Japan, the RoK, Russia, and the US) to resume negotiations with northern Korea (the sixth member) regarding its nuclear weapons program. That’s Wang’s misunderstanding.

There’s nothing to negotiate. Northern Korea stands in gross violation of a number of UN mandates requiring it not to have a nuclear weapons program and not to have nuclear weapons. In addition, northern Korea stands in gross violation of prior agreements reached in earlier iterations of the Six-Party Talks.

What’s required now is enforcement of those mandates and agreements. What’s required now is the dismantlement of northern Korea’s nuclear weapons programs and nuclear weapons. By all means necessary.

Of course, the PRC well knows this about its client. A militarily capable—even a little bit—client is a useful tool in the PRC’s power struggle with us. This client, in this condition, is a useful tool in the PRC’s implied threats and open aggression against the nations ringing the East and South China Seas, many of whom are our friends and allies.

Maybe there’s no misunderstanding at all here. The PRC also well knows that talks will produce nothing substantive concerning northern Korea’s nuclear weapons or its belligerence.

Our President

President Barack Obama says his nuclear weapons deal with Iran will make Khamenei more willing to cooperate with us on other of our problems in the Middle East.

President Obama says Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasions of Georgia and Ukraine are clear signs of Russian weakness.

President Obama says Putin’s extension of those forays into Syria are further signs of Russia’s coming impotence.

President Obama says Putin really isn’t challenging Obama’s leadership in the Middle East; he denies that Putin is a leader.

President Obama says the tide of history is on our side, and all we need to do is wait “them” out.

President Barack “Baghdad Bob” Obama is on the case.

Standing Up

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un declared Saturday that his country was ready to stand up to any threat posed by the United States as he spoke at a lavish military parade to mark the 70th anniversary of the North’s ruling party and trumpet his third-generation leadership.

Baby Kim is full of braggadocio, and he spouts off on a number of things in a number of venues. Sadly, he’s not facing down anything of substance at his parade. My long-deceased grandmother could easily stand up to the Obama administration’s threats.

Obama’s threats are long well-known to be nothing more than a playground taunt: “Boy, oh boy, when I get you.”

Retreat, Ignorance

A week into Russia’s military intervention in Syria, some top White House advisers and National Security Council staffers are trying to persuade President Barack Obama to scale back US engagement there, to focus on lessening the violence and, for now, to give up on toppling the Syrian regime.

A whole week. But sure, why not? He retreated from Iraq as soon and as fast as he could. He announced his retreat from Afghanistan, and is carrying it out apace (never minding that his Defense advisors and the Afghanis disagree) today. Why not slink away from Syria, too? It’s part of his retreat of the US from all of our positions around the globe.

Then there’s this:

Throughout the summer and into the fall, top Russian officials—including Putin himself…—said they were not committed to keeping Assad in power for the long term, and would only target Islamic State fighters in their military offensive, according to US officials.

These officials no longer believe Russia was telling the truth.

This is the strategic failure of Obama and his White House coterie. They’re so closed in on themselves that they’re far too ignorant of the facts to be able to see this coming. They’re the only ones in the entire country who ever believed, at any point in these last seven years (and far more), that “Russia was telling the truth.”

They’re far too ignorant to see that, of course, Russia would expand to fill the void left by the Obama Retreat.

Unfortunately for the safety of the republic, they’re also the only ones in the entire country who could, and still can, do something about their failure.

White House Timidity

President Barack Obama says he’ll veto a bill making its way through the House of Representatives that would repeal the oil export ban in place since Gerald Ford’s administration. Obama thinks he’s acting from a position of strength in saying “No” to anything Republican.

He’s actually acting from weakness and timidity. Leaving aside the destruction of potential American jobs such a veto, if carried through, would represent, there are a couple of foreign policy/national security aspects to lifting the oil.

The free flow of oil to Europe that lifting the ban would facilitate would go a long way toward weaning Europe in general and Ukraine, Poland, and Germany in particular from their current dependence on Russian oil exports.

Freely flowing oil will hold down the cost of energy and of materials industries: plastics are made from oil. Those lower costs strength the economies of all of the nations that use energy in their industries or that import other nations’ production—which is to say the economies of nearly every nation on the planer.

Both Russia and Iran need oil prices above $100/barrel in order to balance their national budgets and so to better fund their attacks on their neighbors, in Russia’s case, and to fund their terrorist clients and attacks on Israel, in Iran’s case. Freely flowing oil would keep oil prices in their current $50-ish range, if not push those prices lower.

But neither Putin nor Khamenei would like that.