Raise Those Taxes

Progressive-Democrat-run States are looking at ways to cover putative budgetary shortfalls.

  • Minnesota State Representative Aisha Gomez, a Democrat…sponsored legislation that would implement a higher tax rate for joint filers in Minnesota making over $1 million a year if federal Medicaid cuts take effect
  • Connecticut legislators have proposed a bill that would raise income-tax rates on couples making at least $500,000 and individuals making at least $250,000
  • Washington Governor Bob Ferguson, a Democrat, in May signed into law a budget that includes an increase in the capital-gains tax, among other things
  • Maryland Governor Wes Moore, a Democrat, in May signed into law his tax proposal, which includes higher income-tax rates for state residents making more than $500,000 a year
  • Rhode Island in June imposed a new tax on certain vacation homes valued at $1 million or more

And this:

Many states face projected budget deficits after increasing spending and cutting taxes in the flush postpandemic years….

Notice that. Profligate spending leads to revenue shortfalls, so—raise those taxes, especially on the rich, who Owe Us. That’s akin to a business losing money, so it raises the prices it charges for its products.

Nowhere in there is any Progressive-Democrat-run State reallocating its spending to stay within existing revenues, much less cutting spending to do so.

I repeat a long-standing challenge of mine: can any Progressive-Democratic Party politician even say the words, “Cut spending?”

Universal Basic Income

The Leftist dream of socialism won’t die, and neither will the Leftist dream of free money, which they masquerade as universal basic income, the steady handout of taxpayer money to everyone because—well, just because. The Left doesn’t care that handing out free money—one of the more extreme aspects of socialism—doesn’t work.

The Left simply doesn’t care about making lives better for Americans, only making their own lives better. Free money, this universal basic income, is just modern day bread and circuses offered in payment for votes so the Left can keep their Progressive-Democrat politicians in power, favoring them. They hope.

The editorial at the second link lays out a number of the ways that UBS fails us all.

Here’s another path to that failure. A UBS increases overall demand for goods and services beyond what producers can supply. This is textbook inflation. Eventually, production succeeds in getting supply increased to match that increased demand, and inflation abates. However, the higher price levels resulting from that bout of inflation remain in place, which means the handed-out money doesn’t have the buying power that it was represented as having: recipients can’t buy significantly more goods and services than they could before the handouts started due to that eroded dollar.

It gets worse. One of the areas of failure that the editorial pointed out was that recipients of free money took advantage of that largesse to work less. Since there is less work being done—this is a universal basic income handout, recall; all of us get it—it would take producers commensurately longer for production to catch up to demand. This would let that inflation run longer, elevating overall price levels even higher. That, in turn, would reduce the buying power of the handed-out money even further, leaving us recipients even less well off than before the handouts began, likely worse off in absolute terms.

Leftists and their politicians, of course, know this full well. They’re hoping us average Americans are too grindingly stupid to figure out that these folks are merely buying, and playing, us for their own power gains.

There’s an Answer to This

It’s simple, straightforward, and deucedly politically difficult given the timidity and/or self-serving political power seeking of too many politicians to carry out. The lede and second paragraph laid out the problem:

As the Department of Government Efficiency and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act make painfully clear, any entity relying on federal funds for fiscal stability had best reconsider its future.
Recently released US Census Bureau data on federal funds flowing to states reveal that in 2023 the average state relied on federal sources for 37% of its revenue—nearly double the 1990 average. Some states were far more dependent, like Arizona (49%), Alaska (45%), Wyoming (46%), and Louisiana, which counted on federal support for more than half its budget. States have…made themselves vulnerable to the ideological proclivities of presidential administrations.

And this:

More pernicious are the ways federal agency ideologues hold those funds hostage to their agendas. …
A massive amount of federal spending isn’t even going to projects most people care about. It funds the priorities of federal agency bureaucrats.

The solution is to identify the total amount of Federal fund transfers to each State in 2026 (or 2027, but no later). Call that baseline year Year Zero. In Year 1, make a single, no strings attached block grant to each State in the amount of 90% of Year Zero. In each subsequent year, reduce the size of the block grant by an additional 10% of the Year Zero amount. In 10 years, there will be no more Federal funds transferred to a State, and all the States will be free of Federal strings on their own spending and taxing imperatives.

This would have the additional benefit for the citizens of each State in that State government spending and taxing would be subjected to greater citizen visibility and discipline.

The only time States need Federal funds transferred is during a State- or region-wide emergency, and those funds should be readily available—as they are currently, and potentially the more so with the cessation of unnecessary transfers done currently on a just because and it’s always done basis.

NATO’s Promises

A NATO pledge. President Donald Trump (R) appears close to getting NATO nations to pledge to raise their NATO-related defense spending to 5% of each nation’s GDP, which would be a marked increase in those nations’ spending.

I question the value of those nations’ promises. Fully a third of NATO’s member nations already have, and are, welching on prior commitments to spend money on NATO-related expenses, for all that Trump’s open questioning of the value of the alliance over its freeloading on American treasure and blood has contributed to an increase in the number of nations that spend adequate amounts on NATO (from five or six!) to the current roughly two-thirds.

The value of a new, and replacement, arrangement centered on the US and the Three Seas Initiative nations is looking better and better.

Misguided Categorizations

The Wall Street Journal has them in its article concerning some outcomes of the just-passed House version of the budget reconciliation bill. The headline reads

The Biggest Losers in Trump’s Megabill

Some Medicaid users are categorized as losers. House-passed work requirements would mean some few millions would lose Medicaid coverage unless they show they’re working part time or are actively seeking work or they are volunteering. Separately, nearly a million and a half illegal aliens would lose coverage. It’s hard to see how these are losers. Those going back to work rather than coasting on our taxpayer handouts stand to gain morally and in the medium- and longer-term economically by having jobs and being able thereby to move up the economic ladder. Those volunteering will do much good for their community while gaining—if they volunteer seriously—valuable work experience. The illegal aliens being denied coverage can’t be losers, since it’s not a loss to no longer receive that to which they were never entitled in the first place.

Older food-aid recipients are categorized as losers from those same work requirements, here being extended to age 64. This is an especially wrong categorization since these folks actually gain in two ways. The first and immediate way is from the same gains as just above, for all that the longer-term part is absent. The second way these folks actually gain, though, directly addresses that longer term: by working those added years, they’re plussing up the Social Security payments they’ll receive when they actually retire.

Clean-energy projects are categorized as losers. The House-passed bill cancels these projects’ tax credits on an accelerated (relative to the originally proposed glacial) schedule. This time, the projects really are losers, but our economy gains enormously by cutting off those money wasters and by reducing the energy production and market distortions such credits have created.

Some student-loan borrowers are categorized as losers. The House-passed bill would put them on one of two offered repayment plans. This actually makes the borrowers winners, since it makes it possible for them actually to repay their loans and get those yokes off their necks.

EV/hybrid car owners and buyers are categorized as losers. Here, as with clean energy, the battery car buyers will lose out on subsidies, but our economy as a whole—and ultimately those battery car buyers—will gain sharply. These wastes of our taxpayer money will stop, and those subsidies’ production and market distortions will disappear.

While it’s true enough that the House-passed bill has much for which to be criticized—it doesn’t reduce tax rates enough, and it doesn’t cut spending nearly enough—these five items aren’t on that list.