The Modern Liberal Limited Government

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2015 was 0.1% on April 2, up from 0.0% on April 1. Following this morning’s international trade release from the US Census Bureau, the nowcast for the change in real net exports in 2009 dollars increased from -40 billion to -33 billion. The nowcast for real equipment investment growth declined from 7.5% to 6.1% following the international trade report and the Census Bureau’s M3 manufacturing report.

That’s the Atlanta Fed’s prediction of our GDP performance in the just concluded first quarter of 2015. The official number will be out at the end of this month. The real equipment investment growth shrinkage is interesting, too: that’s future production capacity for our businesses, and they’re not optimistic.

As Power Line put it,

[L]iberal policies—extravagant government spending, steadily mounting debt, endless regulations, cronyism and the suppression of innovation, promotion of expensive energy, war on cheap electricity, and all the rest—have condemned a generation of Americans to limited opportunities for employment, promotion and the acquisition of wealth.

That’s limited government, modern Liberal style: government limits on individual opportunity.

Step up the Pressure

Russia wants a cease fire in Yemen; it wants the Saudis, et al., to stop their bombing campaign against the Houthi rebels there. Saudi Arabia isn’t to secure its southern border.

Russia has presented a draft resolution calling for a humanitarian cease-fire in Yemen at an emergency meeting of the United Nations Security Council that Moscow called on Saturday, [Vladimir Safronkov, Russian Deputy UN Ambassador] said.

If the Russians want this cease fire, it can only be because their clients are in trouble. The only “humanitarian” concern Russia has is the welfare of the Houthis. The need, then, is not for a cease fire but for the Saudi-led air coalition to step up the pressure, increase their sortie rate, pile on.