Lending in Europe

I don’t often take issue with The Wall Street Journal, but a recent column by David Wessel cries out for a response.  His column is a description of the potential for an unraveling of the euro zone and of the euro itself, and of what needs to be done to preserve them both.

Wessel notes that [emphasis mine]

Today, banks in one euro-zone country are reluctant to lend to banks in another for fear that they won’t get repaid.  Bank lending among euro-area banks at the end of 2011 was 60% below the 2008 peak.  Money is moving not through usual bank-to-bank channels but only through the European Central Bank.  The urge…has given way to a rush to “ring-fence” assets and liabilities within individual countries.

He notes further that

Banks and investors are increasingly unwilling to buy bonds of governments other than their own.  Stronger northern European banks are reluctant to lend to customers and governments in southern and Eastern Europe.

You bet—see that bit about not expecting to be repaid.  Surely, it is no surprise that one enterprise declines to do business with another, or with a government, that the first views as unreliable.  Such a decision is entirely reasonable—it’s how sound businesses stay sound, for their own good, for the good of their employees, for the good of their larger community.

Wessel then quotes an example offered by Philipp Hildebrand, a former Swiss central banker, in an effort to show the unfairness of the situation:

Consider two similar companies, one Austrian and one Italian, that produce the same thing and sell to customers in Tirol in Austria.  The difference: the Italian firm, through no fault of its own, has to pay six percentage points more to borrow money.  “It kills whatever effort you make on structural reform,” [Hildebrand] said.

This is certainly too bad for the Italian firm and for the Italian government’s effort at reform, but where is the unfairness of the advantage to the Austrian firm?  The Italian firm operates under a government whose policies work against that firm’s ability to honor its obligations.  Further, how does this obligate in any way the German or Dutch or Finnish—or Austrian—taxpayer?

Beyond Europe’s new bailout of Spanish banks, there is talk of strengthening the authority of a pan-European banking supervisor…and creating a pan-European deposit-insurance fund so Italian depositors won’t move euros from Italian banks to safer German ones.

But this is insane.  In the first place, why shouldn’t Spanish depositors, or Italian depositors, or…—taxpayers all—move their money to safer locations?  Why should the taxpayers in those safer locations be on the hook for making other nations’ debtors, including those governments, whole?  There’s a very good reason some banks are safer than others, some economies sounder than others.  Some took—and take—better care of their fiscal responsibilities.

Banks are hunkering down at home.  National regulators are acting to protect their banks from the rest of Europe.  Governments are rebuilding old walls to protect taxpayers from bailing out others’ banks.

Why should they not?  By what remotest stretch of imagination should a sound bank be required to lend to an unsound bank—see the bit above about repayment expectations?  Why should taxpayers of one nation be required to throw their own hard-earned money into the bottomless pit of the profligate—see the bit above about repayment expectations?

And if this means the breakup of the euro zone and its currency, well, I’ve written about that elsewhere.

How “Green” Energy is Working out for Germany

We’re getting an empirical lesson in the effectiveness of an economy whose energy is intended to come entirely from “green” sources.  The Obama administration would do well to observe closely the in-progress German demonstration.

Germany’s electricity prices have risen 10% in the last few years, since the beginning of the German push to rely exclusively on these sources and to walk away from coal, which Germany has in abundance.  That might not seem like much of an increase, but it hurts.

The Federation of German Consumer Organizations estimates that roughly 10% of German households are having trouble paying for their energy.  Some have been pushed over the threshold and can no longer pay—and their electricity is being turned off altogether: nearly 200,000 recipients of Hartz IV, a German benefits program for long-term unemployed, had their power cut off in 2011 because of unpaid bills.  There’s more: the Economy Ministry has estimated that prices will increase an additional 3-5 euro cents per kilowatt hour in the next year, just to finance renewable energy subsidies and grid expansion.  Those increases amount to an additional €105-€175 ($130-$220) for a family of three.

There are more cost increases to come.  The Federal Network Agency, a wide-ranging regulatory agency with its fingers in electricity, gas, telecommunications, post and railway markets, will announce this fall that rates will increase by 30%-50% above current levels.  Consumer “contributions” to renewable energy subsidies will rise by more than FGCO’s estimate of 3-5 cents; the FNA says the rise will be closer to 4.7-5.3 euro cents per kilowatt hour—plus VAT, they remind us.  Hartz recipients, and potentially programs like Hartz, will be hard-pressed to meet these increases.

We don’t need these headaches in the US.

Duplicity in Government

No, I’m not talking about leaking the nation’s secrets for personal political gain, or personally approving, individual by individual, the execution of…individuals…by remote control.  I’m talking about duplicity aimed at maintaining incumbents’ positions in government, and so their personal power.

Here is an example of incumbents increasing the dependency of Americans on government. Here’s an example of falsifying “green” jobs data (as part of a larger investigation into the Labor Department’s “trouble” producing reliable labor data generally.  Select Part 2 from the tabs below the video and either listen to the whole thing, or skip ahead to 49:45 to hear the money part of the duplicity.

Here are a couple of examples that the government allows its unions to perpertrate on people:

  • Sally Coomer: Denied the Right to Choose by SEIU Leaders
  • Claire Waites: Denied the Right to Choose by Teachers Union Leaders

Some Thoughts on Security Leaks

President Obama finds it offensive that anyone would accuse him of leaking classified information for personal political gain.

The notion that my White House would purposely release national security information is offensive[.]

Of course it is.  And President Nixon had some remarks along these lines, too.

Yet here is a partial list of the White House’s leaks:

  • A terrorist kill list, identifying persons whom Obama personally approves for remote control execution (and so leaves no terrorist to be inconveniently captured and questioned
  • reports of US spies infiltrating Al Qaeda in Yemen
  • stories about Osama bin Laden’s DNA and how the US got it
  • US involvement in the Stuxnet (and Flame) computer virus development and employment against Iranian nuclear facilities, including identification of the government lab that designed it
  • revealed a British asset who penetrated al Qaeda and stopped another bombing of a US-bound airliner

These leaks, Senator Dianne Feinstein (D, CA) correctly says, put “American lives in jeopardy,” put “our nation’s security in jeopardy.”  And every one of those leaks push an Obama agenda, or purport to paint Obama in a favorable light.

Oh, and the White House’s leaks about a supposed Israeli plan to use Azerbaijani bases to launch an attack against Iranian nuclear facilities—which plan, if it existed, became impossible for an Obama-disliked Israel to execute.

Yet Obama refuses to appoint a special prosecutor to investigate the leaks; although Attorney General Eric Holder has named two DoJ attorneys to investigate.  While it’s true that the leaking that’s coming out of the White House is a present and clear danger and a special prosecutor investigation would take time—possibly years—such an appointment at least would move toward defusing the personal gain question.

Moreover, his CIA and his Department of Justice have announced they will not cooperate with Congressional investigations into the leaks.

I have to ask: why is Obama so bent on hindering investigations into these leaks?

Obama’s offended?  He’s not as offended as are honest Americans over them.

Coal and CO2

We get over half our national electricity supply from coal.  Nevertheless, President Obama is intent on shutting down our coal-based electricity through his EPA regulations.  This has been commented on by lots of folks.

The Obama fantasy driving this is that by killing off the US’ capacity to use coal in energy production, he’ll put a serious dent in the production of CO2.

Never mind that CO2 is not a harbinger of disastrous warming (its atmospheric warming capacity is quite trivial, especially compared to, oh, say, methane, or to the atmospheric cooling capacity of water vapor through its reflection of sunlight back into space), but a confirmation of the health of the planet.  The record, for instance, from ice cores as widely disparately collected as Greenland and Antarctica demonstrate that atmospheric CO2 increases lag global warming, not precede it.  And of course the increases would lag.  The planet warms, as from a major Ice Age, or the Maunder Minimum, or…, and life flourishes.  That life exhales carbon dioxide, and as the life spreads in the warming climes, CO2 in the atmosphere increases.

But nor the Obama administration nor the pseudo-scientists of the Global Warming Funding Project want to talk about that.  Except the latter, to change their group name to the Climate Change Funding Project.