54-40 Or Fight

Not an inch of territory lost.  (Not to mix timelines, or anything.)

Last night the Congress passed, and the President signed, a bill whose result is to re-fund the government through mid-January and raise the debt ceiling sufficient to allow increased borrowing into early February.

What Republicans and Conservatives got out of this debacle is this:

  • continued funding at sequester levels, including the second, deeper round of sequester-required spending cuts that kick in 15 Jan
  • a requirement that HHS verify the income-based eligibility of those receiving ObamaCare subsidies, HHS Secretary certification of that verification, and an HHS audit to confirm/refute the accuracy of the verification
  • back-pay for furloughed workers
  • a bipartisan budget committee to develop a broader plan—a “grand” bargain—by mid-December.  This committee is to be led by the House Budget Committee Chairman, Paul Ryan (R, WI) and the Senate Budget Committee Chairman, Patty Murray (D, WA)

The internal…discussions…among the Republican Party members of Congress demonstrated the lack of cohesiveness within the caucus, and that contributed to the weakness of the tactics chosen for what was intended to be two separate fights—over funding levels and over borrowing levels.  In the end, though, the fundamentally weak tactics were guaranteed to fail by the timidity of Senate Republicans, who visibly wilted under the vitriol of their Democrat opponents.

Hopefully, the things to be learned from this actually will be learned, including the demonstrated lessons of the value of a coherent party message, worked out before the battle begins, and the value of actually talking with their constituents and their Democrat opponents’ constituents, rather than just speechifying on the House or Senate floor or granting the occasional interview in a Capitol Hill hall or front steps.

Unfortunately, the cynical divisiveness of dinosaurs like Senator John McCain (R, AZ) in the aftermath of last night’s votes don’t create much confidence in the ability of Republicans and Conservatives to learn those lessons.

Not an inch of territory lost.  Sort of.

More Obamacare, or Is It Obamacare IT?

…or does it matter?

Here are some examples that Paul Bedard, writing for the Washington Examiner, described:

  • CNNMoney reported one family “found a bronze-level plan for roughly $357 a month, after their subsidy…[b]ut it comes with a $12,600 family deductible”
  • Enormous rate increases.  A research group found that a 30-year-old male nonsmoker “will see his lowest cost insurance option increase 260%”
  • Some who already buy their own insurance are seeing their policies non-renewed, with replacement offers only for expensive new policies.  The Christian Science Monitor reported on a North Carolina family who had been buying Blue Cross and Blue Shield insurance for $380-a-month.  “BCBS is offering them a new plan for three times the cost, $1,124.50 a month…with an $11,000 deductible”
  • A California couple [told the Fresno Bee] that the Obamacare policy suggested to them included a 40% increase in their doctor’s office co-pay.  “Our co-pay skyrocketed from 0% to 40%, and the maximum out-of-pocket increased an additional $2,300”
  • Kaiser Health News found a lack of competition in some pockets of the country.  “18% of counties have only one insurer offering plans, and 33% of counties have only two insurers competing”
  • Little uniformity to premiums charged around the nation.  “For instance,” Kaiser also reported, “Cigna is offering 50-year-olds one of its midlevel plans for $614 if they live in Flagstaff, AZ; that same plan, with different hospitals and doctors, will cost $428 in Phoenix and $395 in Nashville.”

Whether these (especially the deductibles and the enormous premiums) are actual costs to be inflicted or more IT failures to match up government-snooped personal information accurately, the train wreck is in progress.

Affirmative Action, Again

Michigan’s Proposition 2 is in front of the Supreme Court, with oral arguments having occurred last Tuesday.  Prop 2 is an amendment to Michigan’s constitution which the citizens of that state very solidly approved ‘way back in 2006, with 58% voting for it.  The amendment banned racial discrimination affirmative action in public education and in state employment and contracting.

Why is this even a question for the Supremes?  Because the 6th Circuit Court struck down the people’s voice on the odd pseudo-logic that banning racial preference was somehow harmful to minorities.  It would, as The Wall Street Journal put it, “bar a black student from seeking preferential admission to the University of Michigan while allowing applicants with alumni connections or other attributes to try to gain an edge.”

The 6th‘s argument is curious especially because the Michigan citizens’ amendment doesn’t discriminate on the basis of race; it bans exactly that.  Minorities can, for instance, go on about seeking special preferences based on family—just as anyone can at nearly any college or university in the country.  Minorities can go on about seeking special preferences for funding for sickle-cell anemia, which particularly afflicts blacks (oh, wait, there’s that disparate impact thing) or on and on.  No one can seek special preferences on the basis of race, though.

Coalition to Defend Affirmative Action, Integration and Immigrant Rights and Fight for Equality by Any Means Necessary attorney, George B Washington, says with no trace of irony,

We don’t believe in the colorblind Constitution.  We’re making what we think is a straightforward defense of the rights of black and Latino young people” to seek admissions preferences from university officials….

It doesn’t get any starker than this: eliminating discrimination on the basis of race is to discriminate on the basis of race because discrimination on the basis of race is a race right.

What should be a slam dunk in the Supreme Court, though, isn’t.  Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg said the 14th Amendment had been applied to protect politically weak “minorities against hostile, disadvantageous legislation” imposed by the majority.  True enough: the 14th demands “equal protection of the laws” for all, regardless of race (or any other non-meritorious characteristic).  By banning racial preferences, the citizens of Michigan did exactly than, and so those good citizens protected Michigan’s politically weak “minorities against hostile, disadvantageous legislation.”  Ginsburg chooses not to see that, however.

Additionally, Justice Sonia Sotomayor had this:

It’s always wonderful for minorities that they finally get in, they finally have children, and now you’re going to do away [with] that preference for them.  It seems that the game post keeps changing every few years for minorities.

No.  The problem is the constant insistence on racial preference—on judgment not by the content of a man’s character, but by the color of his skin.  The so far denied change is to eliminate that pernicious discrimination.

Finally, many have argued that Prop 2 actually has hurt minorities: their enrollment in Michigan’s colleges and universities, has fallen since the amendment was adopted.  A look at actual facts presents a different picture, though.  The graph below, from the University of Michigan and The Wall Street Journal, illustrates.

Plainly, there has been no effect at all on one minority group (which has been carefully ignored throughout the pro-affirmative action types—no discrimination here, though).  Americans of Asian descent has been constant since 2000, six years before passage of the amendment.

Black enrollment has fallen off.  But that downward trend was well established long before passage; their enrollment has been dropping steadily since 2001.  Since passage, the drop-off has continued, unchanged.

Hispanic enrollment paints a somewhat different picture.  This group’s enrollment has been flat since passage, halting a slight downward trend from a 2002 peak.

At worst, the citizens’ amendment has had no effect on minority enrollment.

Again, I ask: why is this even a question for the Supremes?  Except that it’s necessary in order to reverse a racially ignorant ruling by the 6th.