“How to Energize a Lackluster Economy”

I’m playing off Edward Lazear’s Wall Street Journal op-ed of the same title.  In his piece, he touted the benefits of a consumption tax over an income tax, but his argument flows from a number of false premises.

Lazear asserted

…over 30% of US gross domestic product is taxed away to fund federal, state, and local governments.  Tax compliance costs are also large, estimated to be around 1% of GDP.

The hidden cost of the tax system is the biggest of all—namely, the slower economic growth that results from taxing investment, which impedes the formation of capital and hinders productivity and wage growth.

So far, so good.  These taxes and their associated compliance costs are way too high (and, using 2007 data, a flat tax of 10%, with no deductions, credits, or what-have-yous that everyone pays would net the government an increase in revenue compared with the current system.  Now, whether the government needs that increase is a separate discussion).

But then he said

An easy way to remove the impediment to growth is to move toward a consumption tax by allowing the full and immediate deductibility of capital investment.

Here begins his first false premise.

The argument rests on two points.  First, consumption taxes are better for economic growth than are income taxes.

No, they’re not.  Consumption taxes are horribly regressive, and they actively hurt the poorest among us the most.

Second, allowing full expensing (immediate deductibility) of investment turns the current tax system into a consumption tax.

His second false premise is an implied one: that (income) tax structure and rates should remain essentially as high as they are, other than his deductibility of capital investment.  See above about lowering rates and eliminating deductions, credits, etc.

He went on:

Consumption taxes [his capital investment taxes] are better for economic growth because they create stronger incentives to save and invest than do income taxes.

Under an income tax, a person who consumes what he earns immediately is taxed once, specifically on the earnings that he receives in that year.  If instead he invests what he earns, the interest on that investment, which is compensation for deferring consumption, is also taxed.

This rationalization of his first false premise, though, is centered on yet a third (again implied rather than explicit) false premise: that our tax system should be used for social engineering at all—here, attempting to push money uses into this purpose instead of that—instead of solely for the three explicitly identified purposes for which taxes are permitted under our Constitution.  Those three permissible purposes are, as any grade school civics student knows, are to pay the nation’s debts, to provide for the nation’s defense, and to provide for the general welfare, which itself is explicitly defined by the next 16 clauses of Article I, Section 8.

There’s a fourth false premise (yet again, implied) that underlies all of Lazear’s argument: that businesses should be taxed at all.  Since business taxes are just another cost center for businesses, their taxes, like their other costs, are passed on to their customers—ultimately us—in the form of higher prices.  In the end, then, we pay the business’ taxes, even though it’s the company CFO who signs the check to the Treasury.

No.  Better instead to change the income tax system altogether to a flat tax (I argue for a 10% rate) that every citizen and no business pays.  No social engineering by taxation.  Full stop.

With that in place, watch how thoroughly our economy is energized.

The UAW and Its Volkswagen Union Vote Appeal

The UAW has, at the last minute, withdrawn its appeal to the NLRB of the vote it lost in Chattanooga concerning its attempt to unionize the Volkswagen plant there.  The UAW lost the vote despite having had the most favorable conditions for their side imaginable, including union representatives proselytizing in the plant during working hours while plant management was not allowed to counter-proselytize.

UAW President Bob King offered this as the rationale for the withdrawal:

The UAW is ready to put February’s tainted election in the rearview mirror and instead focus on advocating for new jobs and economic investment in Chattanooga.

Why does this not feel like an acceptance of reality, but rather that the union has something up its sleeve?  Or is my concern simply borne of the distrust created by the UAW’s routine mendacity in the past, and now my mistrust is misplaced: the union really is interested in cooperation rather than contention as the means of generating jobs?

Gary Casteel, responsible for the UAW’s southern region operations, in fleshing out King’s position,

called on Governor [Bill, R] Haslam to reinstate an offer of $300 million in economic incentives to Volkswagen.  The offer was suspended just before the union vote.

Hmm….

Desperate for Revenue

All those free perks, ranging from free food in company cafeterias, laundry services, and so on: Uncle Sugar now is looking to tax those things.  They’re in the stage currently of trying to discern who benefits—the company, which gets better productivity, or the employee who gets the goody—so the IRS can levy the tax against the “proper” target.

To what extent is this intended as a perk, a form of compensation, for the benefit of the employee, or to what extent is this just another way the employer gets the employee to work harder and longer and do things for the benefit of the employer? [David Gamage, Assistant Professor of Law at UC, Berkeley] said.

Will they come next after our coffee slush funds, the snack machines provided for free (even if we must pay for the actual snack—and which choices Momma Obama already is trying to regulate), the popcorn machines, the…?

But who benefits isn’t relevant.  The government is scratching for pennies here, and that’s a sign of desperation for money.  If the government is that needy—or even if it isn’t—it must cut spending, so its need for money is lessened.  The Feds have plenty of our money already; it needs no more of it.

Obama’s War

…on women and on minorities in general continues apace.

The Congressional Budget Office estimates that raising the federal minimum wage to $10.10 an hour would kill off 500,000 jobs…57% of those jobs are held by women.

Women would be disproportionately harmed: those 57% work out to a loss of 285,000 jobs for women.  I suppose, though, that given this administration’s current buzz, President Barack Obama and his coterie view this as a general good.

Obama’s war is just as devastating on other groups of Americans whom his mouth holds in high favor, but his actions plainly disdain.  The Employment Policies Institute has some of the sordid details.

  • For every 10% increase in the minimum wage, teen employment at small businesses is estimated to decrease by 4.6%-9.0%
  • For every 10% increase in the minimum wage, young black and Hispanic teen employment, in particular, looks to fall 4.9%-8.4%

Hmm….

On Denying Market Forces vis-à-vis Supply and Demand

Here’s an interesting graph from AEIDeas:

What this illustrates is the outcome of the lack of a market for organs to be transplanted, in this graph, specifically kidneys.

As Mark Perry put it in his article [emphasis his],

While the annual number of kidney transplant operations has remained relatively flat since 2005 in a range between about 16,500 and 17,000, the number of registered patients on the waiting list continues to increase.  From about 65,000 registered patients in 2005, the waiting list for a kidney transplant has increased by more than 50% over the last eight years, and by 35,000 patients, to the 100,019 patients who are currently on the kidney waiting list.

And

We know from basic economic principles that congestion, shortages, and surpluses are always caused by a failure to apply market pricing.

Perry’s conclusion should be an obvious one:

The only realistic, long-term and truly compassionate solution to address America’s worsening kidney shortage is to legalize some form of donor compensation.  That would require Congress to amend the outdated National Organ Transplant Act of 1984 so that people who give kidneys could receive a benefit, perhaps a tax credit, tuition voucher, lifetime health coverage, or a contribution to a retirement plan.

Reasonable men can argue about the nature of the price to be offered, but the fact remains that a market is necessary—with a price to be offered for the good desired.  Indeed, with the price needing to vary with fluctuations in demand and supply, a government mandated “benefit” would seem still too suboptimal.  Let the market determine the price, in dollars.

Certainly such a market would be fraught with danger and need careful controls.  But the danger for those patients in the excess represented by the present 6:1 ratio of patients needing a kidney to patients getting a kidney—2013’s 83,000 more Waiting List patients than transplant patients—is greater.  And with an actual market, the risk of unauthorized organ harvesting—in the US, a small problem currently, but not insignificant to the victims—will go down markedly.

And there will be a sharp decrease in the number of excess patients.