A Bond Signal

Sam Goldfarb, in The Wall Street Journal, has part of it.

The monthslong decline in bond yields exemplifies investors’ belief that inflation likely isn’t the biggest problem facing the US and global economy.
Monday’s sharp selloff in major US stock indexes highlighted investors’ mounting concern that the biggest risk to markets right now is underwhelming growth….

Indeed.

There are other things that folks are more concerned about than inflation, the current round of which I say is transitory. One is the Biden administration’s steady drumbeat of Wuhan Virus panic-mongering, currently over the Delta variant, which, albeit is more contagious, is in fact no more lethal than the Wuhan Virus original and against which existing vaccinations are highly effective.

Another thing is the Biden administration’s conflicting statements regarding the Wuhan Virus—its origin, palliatives like hydroxychloroquine and remdesivir, mask usefulness, and on and on.

Another thing is the Biden administration’s active attempts to censor, and to order private enterprises to censor, other conflicting information regarding the virus, vaccinations, and vaccinating in general, all because Progressive-Democrats think us average Americans are just too grindingly stupid to figure out for ourselves.

Another thing is the Biden administration’s runaway reregulation of our economy because Government Knows Best.

Another thing is Government’s Progressive-Democrats insisting on paying Americans to not work, slowing our economic recovery by hindering private enterprises’ ability to get the labor force with which to produce enough to meet growing demand.

Another thing is the Progressive-Democrats’ demand to tax our private enterprises to the point of non-competitiveness while at the same time spending our tax money with enormous abandon, crowding our private enterprises out of our economy in favor of a Government economy.

That’s plenty for investors to worry about.

Unfair to Whom?

The subheadline to Mick Mulvaney’s op-ed in The Wall Street Journal drives the salient question:

The “global minimum tax” battle may set an example for those who consider low US state levies “unfair.”

This comes against the backdrop of President Joe Biden’s (D) and his Congressional Progressive-Democrat cronies’ drive to give our domestic economic sovereignty over to an international “agreement” concerning the proper levels of business taxes. That international gang, centered on the OECD, insists that more is better, more is fairer.

Fair to whom, though? Nor Biden, nor his cronies, nor his OECD BFFs are willing to say, beyond insisting that Government needs more and that tax competition is somehow unfair.

Into that void, I have to ask: what’s unfair about leaving more money in the hands of those who earned it? What’s unfair about leaving more money in the hands the private enterprises whose production produced the business incomes that are being taxed?

In the absence of those Betters’ answers, I’ll supply my own.

It’s eminently fair to leave those monies in the hands and coffers of those who generated the income.

What’s fair is the Progressive-Democrat Yellen-disparaged race to the taxing bottom. That’s the most money left in the hands of the economic generators.

Rich Man’s Toys

A couple of stinking rich guys hopped into space and came back down, opening up space tourism—which itself remains the province of the rich. Another stinking rich guy already is bringing down the cost of business venturing into space.

The Precious and the bodice-ripping virtue signalers are all aghast—loudly so—over this immoral (these holier-than-thou bleat) use of a wealthy man’s money. They should have spent their money on Better Things here on Earth in order to make Lives Better.

Never mind that all of the long-lasting life improvers have begun as rich men’s toys.

Here are some other things that began as rich men’s toys but whose market creation playing pushed production up and prices down to the point they became mainstream commodities:

  • printing presses
  • light bulbs
  • central heating for homes
  • oil- and coal-fired home heating furnaces
  • gas-fired home heating furnaces
  • electrically heated homes
  • window air conditioners
  • which expanded to central air conditioning in our homes and commercial buildings
  • ice boxes
  • which became ever-fancied-up refrigerators with freezers and separate freezers
  • telephones
  • radios
  • televisions
  • automobiles
  • automobiles with power steering
  • automobiles with power brakes
  • automobiles with air conditioning
  • air travel

That’s just a short list, but they’re yet more reasons I, too, want to get stinking rich. Which requires a burgeoning, free market, capitalist economy to achieve honestly.

I’ll happily not burden myself along the way with the Know Better Naysayers.

Biden Says

President Joe Biden (D) sees no problem with his spending proposals. Could he actually be right? Here’s a thought on that.

Biden said runaway government spending isn’t inflationary (although he doesn’t recognize the runaway nature of his spending).

Biden missed the opportunity to claim that runaway government (re)regulation also is a net good (although he wouldn’t characterize his reregulation as runaway).

But the two work in concert to control inflation.

Government spending crowds out the private economy’s spending. Government regulation makes the means of production a government concern.

One buyer—Government—and one supplier—Government—means only one price—Government’s. One price means no inflation.

It’s simple, really.

Failing Money Market Funds and Dysfunctional Regulation

Money market funds had trouble during the Panic of 2008, and Federal regulators felt like they had to justify their jobs by Doing Something. So by 2014, they developed and adopted a rule that, in essence allowed money market funds to tell their investors that they couldn’t have their money back under certain fund- and SEC-determined conditions. For the investors’ own good.

Fast forward to the then-active Wuhan Virus situation in early spring 2020, and money market funds found themselves in trouble again. Enter the Gotta Do Something regulators again. This time the international consortium that is the Financial Stability Board (created in the panicky aftermath of that Panic and to which then-President Barack Obama (D) surrendered much of our financial regulatory sovereignty) is contemplating

proposals would discount the value of shares in money funds when lots of investors all want to cash them in simultaneously.

Telling investors they can’t have all of their money back when they need it most. For their own good because the money market fund “needs” their money more, and the money market fund’s “needs” are more important.

Think about that.

Think, next, about a couple of alternatives. One would be to require money market funds to hold a measure of cash capital in reserve and separate from investors’ money. But that’s those regulators, again.

Another would be to let the money market fund that finds itself in trouble go ahead and fail. Let several of them fail. Certainly, that will be painful in the moment, and for more than those funds and unlucky or bad judgment investors. But it also would be the only time, as the industry would be forced by free market imperatives to clean itself up. That would result in far less pain in the medium- to long-term.