Energy Then and Now

I’ve been going back through a book I first read 30 years ago, the National Academy of Sciences’ Energy in Transition 1985-2010: Final Report of the Committee on Nuclear and Alternative Energy Systems.

At this point I’m less interested in specific predictions (over a future 25 year period?) than I am in the thinking and policies espoused by the NAS (and later by a variety of government administrations, as it will have turned out) to achieve the report’s goal of reduced energy consumption by the US.  Thus, the book leads off with this (remember, this is a 1980 copyright):

Slowing the growth of energy demand will be essential, regardless of the supply options developed in the coming decades.  In fact, the demand element of the nation’s energy strategy should be accorded the highest priority.  …this reduction could be accelerated by such explicit government policies as taxes and tariffs on energy and standards for performance….  [G]rowth of demand for energy in this country could be reduced substantially…by price-induced shifts toward less energy-intensive goods and services.

So much for recovering our manufacturing capacity.  The NAS continued [emphasis added]:

A major conclusion…is that technical efficiency measures alone could reduce the [energy/GNP [the earlier measure of US economic output]] ratio to as little as half its present value….  (This conclusion is sensitive to the prices assumed in the analysis,…result of this magnitude is attained only if prices…increase more rapidly than probable in a market at equilibrium.)

In some cases the price increases necessary…would have to be secured by taxes that would open up a wedge between consumer prices and the cost of producing and delivering energy.

The NAS had this to say about the impact of such measures [again, my emphasis]:

To avoid economic penalties, the rate of replacement must generally depend on the normal turnover of capital stock…though rising energy prices will accelerate this turnover in most cases.

“Normal turnover,” carefully manipulated by government interference with free market pricing through those taxes and tariffs and standards.

The real problem is finding a new balance between energy supply and energy demand, consistent with generally satisfactory overall economic performance. …

Tax, tariff, and price control policies…are important influences on the demand for energy.  But energy consumption can also be molded directly—for example, by imposition of mandatory standards for the efficiency of energy-using equipment….

Here is the NAS’ endorsement of economic management from the center—from government—preferring that to the clutter of a market of free actors freely interacting; i.e., we individual Americans acting in our own self-interest, unfettered by government, and achieving our own balance and defining for ourselves our “generally satisfactory performance.”  A free market at equilibrium is not to be tolerated.

Does any of this sound familiar in today’s political (I hesitate to say economic) environment?

Sharia Law and Impeachment

Andrew McCarthy, writing for National Review Online last Friday, described a shocking—and revolting—development in American jurisprudence.

Before I go into that, though, let me digress and provide a couple of quotes from the Pennsylvania Constitution.  First is a state judge’s oath of office, from Article VI, Section 3:

I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support, obey and defend the Constitution of the United States and the Constitution of this Commonwealth and that I will discharge the duties of my office with fidelity.

Next is the state constitution’s view of free speech, from Article I, Section 7 (I won’t go into the Federal Constitution’s 1st Amendment statement on free speech—a statement which a Pennsylvania state judge also is sworn to support, obey and defend):

The free communication of thoughts and opinions is one of the invaluable rights of man, and every citizen may freely speak, write and print on any subject, being responsible for the abuse of that liberty.

Now to cases.  It seems that Ernest Perce was the victim of a criminal assault.

Ernest Perce wore a “Zombie Mohammed” costume and pretended to walk among the dead (in the company of an associate who was the “Zombie Pope….”  The assailant, Talag Elbayomy, a Muslim immigrant, physically attacked Perce, attempted to pull his sign off, and, according to police, admitted what he had done right after the incident.

State Judge Mark Martin

dressed the victim down for failing to appreciate how sensitive Muslims — including the judge himself [a converted Muslim] — are about Islam.

The (now twice over) victim recorded the audio of Martin’s shameful performance and has posted it on YouTube.

Here is an excerpt from Martin’s…ruling (there’s more at the NRO link above).

Before you start mocking someone else’s religion you may want to find out a little bit more about it. That makes you look like a doofus.

And Mr. Thomas [Elbayomi’s defense lawyer] is correct. In many other Muslim speaking countries – excuse me, in many Arabic speaking countries – call it “Muslim” – something like this is definitely against the law there. In their society, in fact, it could be punishable by death, and it frequently is, in their society.

Thus, what goes on in “other countries” must, of necessity, supersede domestic law governing behaviors done domestically.  Even when what goes on in those countries is patently barbaric.

Courtesy of The Volokh Conspiracy, Martin explains himself:

This story certainly has legs. As you might imagine, the public is only getting the version of the story put out by the “victim” (the atheist). Many, many gross misrepresentations. Among them: I’m a Muslim, and that’s why I dismissed the harassment charge (Fact: if anyone cares, I’m actually Lutheran, and have been for at least 41 years).

I also supposedly called him and threatened to throw him in jail if he released the tapes he had made in the courtroom without my knowledge/permission (Fact: HE called ME and told me that he was ready to “go public” with the tapes and was wondering what the consequences would be; I advised him again to not disseminate the recording, and that I would consider contempt charges; he then replied that he was “willing to go to jail for (his) 1st amendment rights”- I never even uttered the word “jail” in that conversation).

He said that I kept a copy of the Quran on the bench (fact: I keep a Bible on the bench, but out of respect to people with faiths other than Christianity, I DO have a Quran on the bookcase BESIDE my bench, and am trying to acquire a Torah, Book of Mormon, Book of Confucius and any other artifacts which those with a faith might respect).

He claims that I’m biased towards Islam, apparently because he thinks I’m Muslim. In fact, those of you who know me, know that I’m an Army reservist with 27 years of service towards our country (and still serving). I’ve done one tour in Afghanistan, and two tours in Iraq, and am scheduled to return to Afghanistan for a year this summer. During my first tour in Iraq, I was ambushed once, attacked by a mob once, sniped at once, and rocketed, bombed, and mortared so many times that I honestly don’t know how many time I’ve been attacked. Presumably by Muslim insurgents. My point: if anyone SHOULD be biased towards Muslims, one would think it would be me. I’m not, however, because I personally know or have met many good, decent people who follow Islam, and I shouldn’t characterize the actions of those who tried to kill me as characterizations of all Muslims.

When I asked him why he dressed up as “Muhammad zombie,” he told me that it was because he was reflecting the Muslim belief that Muhammad rose from the dead, walked as a zombie, and then went to heaven. That was one of the reasons I tried to spend 6 whole minutes trying to explain and de-mystify Islam through my own knowledge, and in an attempt to prevent an incident like this recurring in my community. Unfortunately, the message was obviously not received in the vein that I had intended. And, in the interest of full disclosure, I did use the word “doofus,” but didn’t call him that directly; I said something akin to “ if you’re going to mock another religion or culture, you should check your facts, first- otherwise, you’ll look like a doofus.”;

In short, I based my decision on the fact that the Commonwealth failed to prove to me beyond a reasonable doubt that the charge was just; I didn’t doubt that an incident occurred, but I was basically presented only with the victim’s version, the defendant’s version, and a very intact Styrofoam sign that the victim was wearing and claimed that the defendant had used to choke him. There so many inconsistencies, that there was no way that I was going to find the defendant guilty.

A lesson learned here: there’s a very good reason for Rule 112 of Rules of Criminal Procedure- if someone makes an unauthorized recording in a Court not of Record, there’s no way to control how it might be manipulated later, and then passed off as the truth. We’ve received dozens upon dozens of phone calls, faxes, and e-mails. There are literally hundreds of not-so-nice posts all over the internet on at least 4 sites that have carried this story, mainly because I’ve been painted as a Muslim judge who didn’t recuse himself, and who’s trying to introduce Sharia law into Mechanicsburg.

Like Professor Volokh suggests, this is unconvincing.  There remains the fact of the assault, both unprovoked and unjustified.  As to “the victim’s version, the defendant’s version, and a very intact Styrofoam sign,” there’s also the police’s hearing of the assailant’s confession and the possibility of an explanation of the sign’s condition, both of which he refused to hear when he tossed the case.

This judge has willfully and deliberately applied foreign law (and he as, as a separate matter, applied foreign religious law) to a domestic American criminal case, and he has done so by replacing applicable domestic law with that foreign law.  This is a deliberate violation of his oath of office, and this should be an impeachable offense.  We’ll see in the coming days whether the Pennsylvania legislature is up to the task of protecting American, and its own state, law.  We’ll also see in the coming days whether the prosecutor involved is up to the task of appealing this willfully wrongful dismissal.

Another 2nd Amendment Question

But it’s (ostensibly) for a good cause: Illinois State Representative Kelly Cassidy (D, Chicago) wants to tax the sale of ammunition and use the proceeds to help defray the costs of “high-crime area” trauma centers that treat the results of violent crime.

Illinois Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence Campaign Director, Mark Walsh, actually argues with a straight face

[The money would go] into communities here in Illinois that have been damaged with gun violence.  I think it’s a legitimate way to pursue funding.

This is, at best, naïve.

Illinois State Rifle Association Director, Richard Pearson, makes things clear:

[Criminals are] not buying their ammunition (legally). They’re not paying any part of the tax. They’re getting their stuff illegally[.]

Taxing the law-abiding to pay for the criminals’ actions doesn’t address the problem—that violent crime.  If Illinois wants to lower the costs of violent crime outcomes, the answer is straightforward: reduce the incidence of violent crime.  This begins with enforcing crime laws, even in those “high-crime areas,” not waiting until the violence has been done, and then looking for ways to cover the price.

It’s unacceptable to expect law-abiding citizens to subsidize the outcomes of enforcement failure.  State Congresswoman Cassidy knows this full well—her move is nothing more than another attempt to restrict our firearm possession and ownership and use rights.

Another Lesson from the European Model

Here’s the present situation in Greece—it really is this apocalyptic.  Children are street-begging for food, and adults are dumpster-diving for food as soup kitchens close their doors on people because the kitchens have run out.  Professional talent is leaving the country for foreign work, and others are squirreling their money away in foreign bank accounts.  Medecins Sans Frontieres is reporting a return of malaria—and so the exposure of Europe generally to this once-eradicated disease.

University of Athens economist, Panagiotis Petrakis, describes other aspects of the economic failure:

…standard of living down, by as much as 30 per cent; bank deposits that have not been spirited out of the country are dwindling; almost 70,000 businesses folded in 2010 and bankruptcy is stalking more than 53,000 of the remaining 300,000; unemployment, 25 per cent – but youth joblessness is 47 per cent and rising; a quarter of the population living in poverty; homelessness, up 25 per cent, with well-educated youngsters accounting for much of the rise.  Petty crime, doubled.

Greece—and Portugal, Spain, and Italy; although Greece is the farthest down the path—is demonstrating the results of a welfare state running out of other people’s money.  The stimulus money is fully expended, and there are no positive results; only failure: competitiveness has disappeared into an overwhelming national debt, and with the loss of prosperity from that competitive fire, any ability to heal the economy—to repay that debt—is sorely constrained.  Corruption—crony capitalism—is becoming rampant.

Greece, like Detroit, and the US, like Greece, are gravely wounded by the policies of welfarism, however disguised by pretty words of “everyone gets a fair shot.”  Yet our own political elite still want to double down on their failed spending, taxing, borrowing—wealth redistribution—policies by imposing yet higher taxes, increasing spending even more, and expanding our debt explosively beyond its current already unsustainable levels.

Though Europe’s economies are dying, the collective mind of its political elite is still gripped patterns of thought and modes of analysis that were hatched in another era.  And so it is here, where Progressive policies, born in the failed New Deal, continue to hold sway and continue to fail today.

h/t to Belmont Club

And Then There’s Free Speech

There’s this from Matt Ridley concerning the effect of Internet anonymity on speaking freely.

It is now well known that people are generally accurate and (sometimes embarrassingly) honest about their personalities when profiling themselves on social-networking sites. Patients are willing to be more open about psychiatric symptoms to an automated online doctor than a real one. Pollsters find that people give more honest answers to an online survey than to one conducted by phone.

Ridley traces a path back to our (very distant) forebears.

In many monkeys and apes, face-to-face contact is essentially antagonistic. Staring is a threat.

And

For many primates, face-to-face contact carries a threat. When we’re online, we’re essentially faceless.

It would seem that we’re not bad, we’re just evolved that way.