What a Central Bank Does vs What the European Central Bank is Doing

…and to too great an extent, what the Fed is doing….

As Spiegel Online International reports, the ECB intends to attempt to buy up southern Europe’s sovereign debt instruments on an enormous scale.  The idea is to get those, I’ll call them, toxic assets off the market so that lending can resume and the euro zone’s (and EU’s) market economies can restart.

There are a couple of fundamental problems with this scheme (and I use that term in the American sense).  I’ll elide, in this post, the clumsiness of it: it doesn’t satisfy central bank statutes, and the ECB risks becoming a secondary government while simultaneously losing its independence to national politicians.

One problem is the enormous risk this entails—not just for the ECB, but for the EU member nations that fund the ECB and so are on the hook for its failures.  That is to say, the taxpaying citizens of those nations are on the hook.  The risk is whether the bailed out nations will benefit and recover their economies.  If they do not, the losses will become astronomic: the Spanish and Italian debts alone sum to nearly €3 trillion.

Another problem is that this sort of scheme, even if carried out without those…inefficiencies…does not work.  For instance, the euro zone finance ministers, in their latest bailout round, approved a €100 billion to rescue the Spanish banks.  However, the benefits only lasted until those €100 billion ran out; then yields—the prices borrowers must pay in order to get others to lend—on Spanish and Italian government bonds went back up to dangerous levels.

Some understand this: Jürgen Stark, a former member of the ECB Executive Board, has already said

The ECB has a clear mandate to guarantee price stability.  Every additional responsibility compromises this core function.

Notice that: the purpose of the ECB—of any central bank—is to maintain price stability.  The legitimate purpose doesn’t even include maintaining full employment, as the Fed attempts to do.  (In a free market, unfettered by government interferences beyond such niceties as enforcing contract law and laws against things like lying or cheating, price stability combined with freedom in the market tend to maintain full employment through market forces.)

Price stability—monetary policy—for the EU, and for the euro zone in particular, is the über-framework, within which the various nations can structure their individual market economies as they see fit: against a backdrop of price stability.

Interferingintervening in the markets—monetary policy—is the job of elected governments, not that of central banks.

The ECB needs to stay out of the market for sovereign debt.

Obamanomics and Life Expectancy

Power Line quoted, earlier in the week, a Cato-conducted tongue-in-cheek study that applies Democratic Presidential Candidate Obama’s standard for attributing deaths to economic behavior, with the arithmetically driven conclusion that Obama has personally killed nearly 60,000 Americans with his own policies.  The Republican Presidential Candidate, Mitt Romney, plainly is a piker who does not kill efficiently, having done in only one, and taken far more time to do so.

Of course, the claim by the Democratic Presidential Candidate through his SuperPAC is dishonest, and the claim by Cato is ludicrous and made only to illustrate that point.  A fair question to ask, though, is what is the impact on American lives the Democratic Presidential Candidate has had with Obamanomics?  The answer is apparent.

The connection between poverty level and life expectancy has been well established, as the following graph (which takes a broad-brush view of splitting between poor and rich; however in the present context, finer gradations are not needed) illustrates:

The life expectancy delta between “rich” and “poor” over the 20 years of this study has reached +4-ish years in favor of the “rich” for the population in general, with a larger disparity among men.

On the other hand, the number of Americans living in poverty has been growing sharply during the 3+ years of Democratic Presidential Candidate Obama’s current term on the hustings.  In 2010, the number of Americans living in poverty was 15.1% of the population, while that had risen to 15.7% in 2011—an increase of 2.2 million Americans reduced to poverty in just that one year.  If we go back to 2009, we see an increase of some 5.2 million Americans living in poverty under Obamanomics.

The Democratic Presidential Candidate’s policies have shortened the lives of 5 million Americans by roughly four years—and he’s achieved this in only three years of campaigning.

One European’s View of Democracy

Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti had this to say earlier in the week:

If governments allow themselves to be entirely bound to the decisions of their parliament, without protecting their own freedom to act, a break up of Europe would be a more probable outcome than deeper integration.

Hmm….  The people’s representatives should be disregarded when Government Knows Better?  So much for the Sovereign People.

He went on, though, in a vein that leads me to believe that he’s not so much anti-democratic as he is simply incompetent, saying that if the euro were allowed to become a factor in Europe drifting apart,

then all the foundations of the European Project will be destroyed.

Of course the euro is at the core of the “European Project,” since it was designed as the tool with which the varying nations of Europe would be drawn together.  On top of which, without a common currency, there can be no expectation of a common Europe: it would be like each of the united States under the Articles of Confederation having its own currency as well as the use of everyone else’s.

Oh, wait….

Of course, a day later, Monti…clarified, suggesting that his remarks had been intended to support “constant and systemic dialogue” between governments and parliaments; however, when it comes to government negotiations at the European level

a certain amount of flexibility is necessary in order to reach agreements.

And he added this

Every government has a duty to explain itself and interact in a dynamic, transparent and effective way with parliament[.]

Fill the square of discussing, then overrule the parliament.  And notice his fundamental view of parliament, expressed twice above: government is separate from parliament, and above it.  The people’s representatives have no place in the government, except at government’s sufferance.

Again: hmm….

Some Are Starting to Get It

Bavarian Finance Minister Markus Söder, of the Christian Social Union (CSU), the Bavaria’s sister to Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU):

According to my forecasts, Greece should leave the euro zone by the end of the year.  Each new aid measure, every easing of the demands, would be the wrong path.  Athens must become an example demonstrating that this euro zone also has teeth.  At some point, everyone has to move away from mommy.  For Greece, that time has come.

What he said.

A Quibble that Tells the Truth

This is from the White House’s very own blog, from the personal keyboard of Alan Krueger, Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers:

The household survey showed that the unemployment rate ticked up to 8.3% in July (or, more precisely, the rate rose from 8.217% in June to 8.254% in July).  Acting BLS Commissioner John Galvin noted in his statement that the unemployment rate was “essentially unchanged” from June to July.

And so is our economic recovery “essentially unchanged” from 2009 to 2012.